Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KF Tirana vs KF Egnatia

Albania Albania

Abissnet Superiore Arena Kombetare
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Tabekou S.
34'
Buric N.
46'
Sub
Kobiljar R. In: Haxhiu R.
Out: Kobiljar R.

AI Match Summary

KF Tirana host KF Egnatia in the Abissnet Superiore. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: KF Tirana at 1.83 goals for, 0.67 against; KF Egnatia at 1 for, 1.75 against. Head-to-head, KF Tirana have won 2 to KF Egnatia's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.79 xG vs 0.83) point toward KF Egnatia. KF Egnatia in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
KF Tirana
40%
Draws
29%
KF Egnatia
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • KF Egnatia has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to KF Tirana.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Abissnet Superiore provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
KF Tirana Clean Sheet 68%
KF Egnatia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KF Tirana KF Egnatia
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 16
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.83 1
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.83 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.67 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
KF Tirana vs KF Egnatia
3:1
Feb 1, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
KF Egnatia vs KF Tirana
0:1
Nov 29, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
KF Tirana vs KF Egnatia
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
KF Egnatia vs KF Tirana
2:0
Mar 15, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
KF Egnatia vs KF Tirana
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KF Tirana Compare

Top Goalscorer Tabekou S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Xhixha R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.92

KF Egnatia Compare

Top Goalscorer Buric N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KF Tirana 42 / 100
KF Egnatia 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KF Tirana KF Egnatia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KF Tirana scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

KF Egnatia let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

KF Tirana went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

KF Egnatia lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KF Tirana VS KF Egnatia
1.83 Goals Scored 1
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.75
67% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vllaznia36189942:2763
2AF Elbasani361711848:3762
3KF Egnatia361691142:3457
4Dinamo Tirana3612131143:3349
5Partizani361391438:4848
6KF Tirana3611111436:4644
7Vora3610121439:4042
8Teuta369151232:3742
9Bylis3610111538:5041
10Flamurtari368121639:4536