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KF Tirana vs Skenderbeu Korca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Abissnet Superiore Arena Kombetare, Tirana
Sat, Nov 28, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KF Tirana host Skenderbeu Korca in the Abissnet Superiore. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. KF Tirana have averaged 1.24 scored and 1.14 conceded recently, against Skenderbeu Korca's 1.34 scored and 0.79 conceded. Head-to-head, KF Tirana have won 2 to Skenderbeu Korca's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Sep 11, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.44 - 1.44) back Skenderbeu Korca to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
KF Tirana
30%
Draws
39%
Skenderbeu Korca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Skenderbeu Korca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Skenderbeu Korca come out ahead of KF Tirana on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Abissnet Superiore form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
KF Tirana Clean Sheet 16%
Skenderbeu Korca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KF Tirana Skenderbeu Korca
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.24 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
Skenderbeu Korca vs KF Tirana
1:1
Jan 10, 2026 Albanian Cup
KF Tirana vs Skenderbeu Korca
2:1
Apr 12, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
Skenderbeu Korca vs KF Tirana
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
KF Tirana vs Skenderbeu Korca
1:0
Dec 5, 2024 Abissnet Superiore
Skenderbeu Korca vs KF Tirana
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KF Tirana 36 / 100
Skenderbeu Korca 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KF Tirana Skenderbeu Korca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skenderbeu Korca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KF Tirana found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Skenderbeu Korca let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: KF Tirana stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KF Tirana VS Skenderbeu Korca
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

KF Tirana

(Home)
29 Oct
KF Tirana
1 : 1
Dinamo City
24 Oct
Vllaznia
2 : 0
KF Tirana
17 Oct
KF Tirana
1 : 0
Laci
11 Oct
Partizani
1 : 3
KF Tirana
20 Sept
KF Tirana
2 : 2
AF Elbasani
Page 1 of 6

Skenderbeu Korca

(Away)
28 Oct
Skenderbeu Korca
1 : 1
Laci
24 Oct
Partizani
0 : 2
Skenderbeu Korca
17 Oct
Skenderbeu Korca
2 : 1
AF Elbasani
10 Oct
Teuta
2 : 0
Skenderbeu Korca
06 Oct
Skenderbeu Korca
4 : 1
Kucove
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KF Egnatia 9 7 0 2 18:8 21
2 Teuta 9 6 2 1 14:3 20
3 Dinamo City 9 5 1 3 13:10 16
4 KF Tirana 9 3 3 3 13:13 12
5 Laci 9 3 2 4 9:12 11
6 AF Elbasani 9 2 5 2 11:11 11
7 Vora 9 3 2 4 10:14 11
8 Skenderbeu Korca 9 2 4 3 10:11 10
9 Vllaznia 9 2 2 5 10:15 8
10 Partizani 9 1 1 7 10:21 4
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Championship Group)
Relegation - Abissnet Superiore (Relegation Group)