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KF Valbona vs Beselidhja Lezha

Albania Albania

Albanian Cup 2024/2025
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Match Events

87' Event
Lawal A.

AI Match Summary

KF Valbona host Beselidhja Lezha in the Albanian Cup 2024/2025. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. KF Valbona have averaged 1 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Beselidhja Lezha's 0 scored and 3 conceded. Past meetings favor KF Valbona slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 16, 2024, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 1.50, favoring KF Valbona. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
KF Valbona
6%
Draws
4%
Beselidhja Lezha
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: KF Valbona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • KF Valbona demonstrates higher offensive output (1 avg goals) than Beselidhja Lezha (0 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for KF Valbona.
  • Cup tournament structure in Albanian Cup 2024/2025 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
KF Valbona Clean Sheet 16%
Beselidhja Lezha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KF Valbona Beselidhja Lezha
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 3
Draws 6 8
Losses 21 19
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 2 3
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2024 Albanian Cup
KF Valbona vs Beselidhja Lezha
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KF Valbona Compare

Top Goalscorer Lawal A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Beselidhja Lezha Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KF Valbona 84 / 100
Beselidhja Lezha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KF Valbona Beselidhja Lezha

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KF Valbona scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Beselidhja Lezha let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

KF Valbona went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Beselidhja Lezha lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KF Valbona VS Beselidhja Lezha
1 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Teuta-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
AF Elbasani4
Turbina Cerrik0
Tomori Berat1
Iliria Kruja2
Vllaznia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Flamurtari15
KS Devolli1
Besa Kavaje4
Terbuni Puka3
Dinamo Tirana-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Erzeni Shijak1
Kucove0
KF Valbona1
Beselidhja Lezha0
Skenderbeu Korca-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Vora6
Gramshi1
Lushnja0
KF Oriku1
KF Tirana-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bylis5
Adriatiku1
Luzi5
Shkumbini Peqin0
KF Egnatia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Korabi Peshkopi5
Koplik2
Kastrioti3
Butrinti Sarande1
Laci-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kukesi6
Albanet0
Pogradeci2
AF Luftetari0
Partizani-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Apolonia Fier3
Kelcyra0
Burreli4
Librazhd0
1/16-finals
Teuta-
TBD-
AF Elbasani3
Iliria Kruja1
Vllaznia-
TBD-
Flamurtari0
Besa Kavaje1
Dinamo Tirana-
TBD-
Erzeni Shijak2
KF Valbona1
Skenderbeu Korca-
TBD-
Vora3
KF Oriku1
KF Tirana-
TBD-
Bylis3
Luzi1
KF Egnatia-
TBD-
Korabi Peshkopi1
Kastrioti4
Laci-
TBD-
Kukesi2
Pogradeci1
Partizani-
TBD-
Apolonia Fier3
Burreli1
1/8-finals
Teuta0
AF Elbasani2
Vllaznia1
Besa Kavaje0
Dinamo Tirana6
Erzeni Shijak1
Skenderbeu Korca1
Vora0
KF Tirana1
Bylis2
KF Egnatia4
Kastrioti0
Laci3
Kukesi1
Partizani2
Apolonia Fier0
Quarter-finals
AF Elbasani3
Vllaznia4
Dinamo Tirana4
Skenderbeu Korca2
Bylis3
KF Egnatia5
Laci1
Partizani2
Semi-finals
Vllaznia3
Dinamo Tirana4
KF Egnatia2
Partizani1
Final
Dinamo Tirana3
KF Egnatia2