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KFA vs Olafsvik

Iceland Iceland

Division 2
KFA Logo

KFA

Sat, Jul 4, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Olafsvik Logo

Olafsvik

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

KFA play Olafsvik in the Division 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, KFA averaged 2.33 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. Olafsvik averaged 2.09 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, KFA won 0, Olafsvik won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Aug 5, 2025 ended 3:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.44 for KFA and 1.94 for Olafsvik. This points to a Olafsvik double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
KFA
21%
Draws
45%
Olafsvik
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Olafsvik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • KFA picked up more points recently compared to Olafsvik.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.44 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
KFA Clean Sheet 10%
Olafsvik Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 85%
Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KFA Olafsvik
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 17
Draws 5 3
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 2.33 2.09
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2025 Fotbolti.net Cup
KFA vs Olafsvik
3:4
Jul 26, 2025 Division 2
Olafsvik vs KFA
3:2
May 17, 2025 Division 2
KFA vs Olafsvik
1:1
Jul 21, 2024 Division 2
Olafsvik vs KFA
2:0
May 11, 2024 Division 2
KFA vs Olafsvik
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KFA 33 / 100
Olafsvik 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KFA Olafsvik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Olafsvik or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

KFA attacking → ← attacking Olafsvik

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KFA scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Olafsvik let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

KFA went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Olafsvik lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 54
2.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Haukar1172228:1423
2Dalvik/Reynir1061318:1219
3Kari1145229:2017
4Selfoss1044221:2016
5Kormakur/Hvot1043325:1315
6Fjolnir1042425:2114
7Olafsvik1042416:2014
8KFG Gardabaer1040614:2912
9Hviti1025312:1611
10KFA1031624:2210
11Throttur Vogar1031612:1910
12Magni1022612:308