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KFG Gardabaer vs Fjolnir Prediction & H2H Stats

Iceland Iceland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Jorgensson M.
28' Event
Biberdzic D.
40' Event
Arnthorsson B. F.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 game between KFG Gardabaer and Fjolnir finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KFG Gardabaer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
KFG Gardabaer
20%
Draws
29%
Fjolnir
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: KFG Gardabaer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fjolnir come out ahead of KFG Gardabaer on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on KFG Gardabaer taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 85.4%
KFG Gardabaer Clean Sheet 10%
Fjolnir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KFG Gardabaer Fjolnir
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.69 2.3
Goals Conceded 2.53 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Division 2
Fjolnir vs KFG Gardabaer
4:1
Jun 1, 2026 Division 2
KFG Gardabaer vs Fjolnir
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KFG Gardabaer Compare

Top Goalscorer Biberdzic D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Heimisson A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Fjolnir Compare

Top Goalscorer Jorgensson M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arnthorsson B. F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KFG Gardabaer 83 / 100
Fjolnir 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KFG Gardabaer Fjolnir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KFG Gardabaer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KFG Gardabaer found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Fjolnir let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

KFG Gardabaer went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KFG Gardabaer VS Fjolnir
2 Goals Scored 2.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

KFG Gardabaer

(Home)
12 Sept
Selfoss
2 : 1
KFG Gardabaer
05 Sept
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 1
Olafsvik
29 Aug
Dalvik/Reynir
2 : 0
KFG Gardabaer
22 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 0
Kormakur/Hvot
19 Aug
Hviti
0 : 5
KFG Gardabaer
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Fjolnir

(Away)
12 Sept
Kormakur/Hvot
1 : 2
Fjolnir
05 Sept
Fjolnir
1 : 1
Throttur Vogar
27 Aug
Hviti
3 : 3
Fjolnir
23 Aug
Kari
1 : 0
Fjolnir
19 Aug
Fjolnir
1 : 2
KFA
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haukar 22 15 2 5 55:32 47
2 Selfoss 22 13 6 3 55:36 45
3 Kari 22 11 9 2 56:29 42
4 Dalvik/Reynir 22 9 4 9 37:37 31
5 Olafsvik 22 9 4 9 33:41 31
6 Fjolnir 22 8 6 8 49:46 30
7 KFA 22 9 2 11 51:45 29
8 Kormakur/Hvot 22 7 6 9 42:38 27
9 Magni 22 7 4 11 35:54 25
10 Throttur Vogar 22 7 2 13 33:42 23
11 KFG Gardabaer 22 7 1 14 38:58 22
12 Hviti 22 3 8 11 28:54 17
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