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KFG Gardabaer vs Haukar

Iceland Iceland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Thorsteinsson S.
(Penalty)
35' Event
Thorsteinsson S.
77' Event
Barddal J.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 game between KFG Gardabaer and Haukar finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Haukar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
KFG Gardabaer
15%
Draws
34%
Haukar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KFG Gardabaer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Haukar come out ahead of KFG Gardabaer on wins alone.
  • KFG Gardabaer are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
KFG Gardabaer Clean Sheet 10%
Haukar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KFG Gardabaer Haukar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 19
Draws 5 2
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.7 2.27
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Division 2
Haukar vs KFG Gardabaer
2:1
May 21, 2026 Division 2
KFG Gardabaer vs Haukar
0:4
Jul 25, 2025 Division 2
Haukar vs KFG Gardabaer
1:2
May 16, 2025 Division 2
KFG Gardabaer vs Haukar
1:4
Jul 21, 2024 Division 2
Haukar vs KFG Gardabaer
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KFG Gardabaer Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Haukar Compare

Top Goalscorer Thorsteinsson S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barddal J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KFG Gardabaer 83 / 100
Haukar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KFG Gardabaer Haukar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KFG Gardabaer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KFG Gardabaer's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Haukar has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

KFG Gardabaer went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KFG Gardabaer VS Haukar
2.38 Goals Scored 2.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

KFG Gardabaer

(Home)
12 Sept
Selfoss
2 : 1
KFG Gardabaer
05 Sept
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 1
Olafsvik
29 Aug
Dalvik/Reynir
2 : 0
KFG Gardabaer
22 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 0
Kormakur/Hvot
19 Aug
Hviti
0 : 5
KFG Gardabaer
Page 1 of 6

Haukar

(Away)
18 Sept
Selfoss
3 : 1
Haukar
15 Sept
Kormakur/Hvot
1 : 2
Haukar
12 Sept
Kari
4 : 0
Haukar
05 Sept
Haukar
1 : 2
Selfoss
29 Aug
Olafsvik
1 : 4
Haukar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haukar 22 15 2 5 55:32 47
2 Selfoss 22 13 6 3 55:36 45
3 Kari 22 11 9 2 56:29 42
4 Dalvik/Reynir 22 9 4 9 37:37 31
5 Olafsvik 22 9 4 9 33:41 31
6 Fjolnir 22 8 6 8 49:46 30
7 KFA 22 9 2 11 51:45 29
8 Kormakur/Hvot 22 7 6 9 42:38 27
9 Magni 22 7 4 11 35:54 25
10 Throttur Vogar 22 7 2 13 33:42 23
11 KFG Gardabaer 22 7 1 14 38:58 22
12 Hviti 22 3 8 11 28:54 17
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