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KFG Gardabaer vs KV Reykjavik Prediction & H2H Stats

Iceland Iceland

Division 2 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Thrastarson F.
19' Event
Petursson K.
(Penalty)
36' Event
Thrastarson F.

AI Match Summary

KFG Gardabaer in this Division 2 2023 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored KFG Gardabaer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
KFG Gardabaer
15%
Draws
34%
KV Reykjavik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KFG Gardabaer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • KV Reykjavik haven't matched KFG Gardabaer's recent run of results.
  • KFG Gardabaer are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
KFG Gardabaer Clean Sheet 10%
KV Reykjavik Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KFG Gardabaer KV Reykjavik
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 9 5
Draws 5 3
Losses 18 21
Goals Scored 1.84 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.53 2.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2023 Division 2
KV Reykjavik vs KFG Gardabaer
1:3
May 6, 2023 Division 2
KFG Gardabaer vs KV Reykjavik
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KFG Gardabaer Compare

Top Goalscorer Barddal J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Petursson K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

KV Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Thrastarson F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KFG Gardabaer 83 / 100
KV Reykjavik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KFG Gardabaer KV Reykjavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KFG Gardabaer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KFG Gardabaer scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

KV Reykjavik let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

KFG Gardabaer has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

KFG Gardabaer VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

KFG Gardabaer

(Home)
12 Sept
Selfoss
2 : 1
KFG Gardabaer
05 Sept
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 1
Olafsvik
29 Aug
Dalvik/Reynir
2 : 0
KFG Gardabaer
22 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 0
Kormakur/Hvot
19 Aug
Hviti
0 : 5
KFG Gardabaer
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KV Reykjavik

(Away)
26 Mar
Fylkir
6 : 0
KV Reykjavik
20 Mar
KV Reykjavik
5 : 0
KB Breidholt
16 Jul
KV Reykjavik
1 : 2
Hottur / Huginn
05 Apr
KV Reykjavik
1 : 6
Fylkir
29 Mar
Aegir
2 : 3
KV Reykjavik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dalvik/Reynir 22 13 6 3 45:23 45
2 IR Reykjavik 22 13 2 7 55:28 41
3 KFA 22 11 8 3 45:24 41
4 Throttur Vogar 22 11 5 6 42:30 38
5 Olafsvik 22 11 5 6 42:34 38
6 Hottur / Huginn 22 10 3 9 34:38 33
7 Haukar 22 9 4 9 36:36 31
8 KFG Gardabaer 22 9 3 10 41:40 30
9 Volsungur 22 8 1 13 33:38 25
10 Fjallabyggd 22 8 1 13 36:49 25
11 Sindri 22 4 5 13 25:53 17
12 KV Reykjavik 22 2 3 17 18:59 9
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