Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KFG Gardabaer vs Magni

Iceland Iceland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Sigthorsson G.
84' Event
Heimisson A.
86' Event
Bergvinsson G.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 game between KFG Gardabaer and Magni finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Magni.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
KFG Gardabaer
15%
Draws
26%
Magni
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KFG Gardabaer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Magni carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on KFG Gardabaer taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
KFG Gardabaer Clean Sheet 10%
Magni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KFG Gardabaer Magni
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.7 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.6 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Division 2
Magni vs KFG Gardabaer
1:1
May 16, 2026 Division 2
KFG Gardabaer vs Magni
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KFG Gardabaer Compare

Top Goalscorer Heimisson A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Magni Compare

Top Goalscorer Sigthorsson G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bergvinsson G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KFG Gardabaer 83 / 100
Magni 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KFG Gardabaer Magni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KFG Gardabaer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KFG Gardabaer scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Magni has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

KFG Gardabaer went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KFG Gardabaer VS Magni
2.13 Goals Scored 2
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

KFG Gardabaer

(Home)
12 Sept
Selfoss
2 : 1
KFG Gardabaer
05 Sept
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 1
Olafsvik
29 Aug
Dalvik/Reynir
2 : 0
KFG Gardabaer
22 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 0
Kormakur/Hvot
19 Aug
Hviti
0 : 5
KFG Gardabaer
Page 1 of 6

Magni

(Away)
12 Sept
Throttur Vogar
2 : 1
Magni
05 Sept
Magni
0 : 2
Kari
29 Aug
Selfoss
6 : 0
Magni
23 Aug
Magni
3 : 1
Olafsvik
19 Aug
Dalvik/Reynir
1 : 1
Magni
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haukar 22 15 2 5 55:32 47
2 Selfoss 22 13 6 3 55:36 45
3 Kari 22 11 9 2 56:29 42
4 Dalvik/Reynir 22 9 4 9 37:37 31
5 Olafsvik 22 9 4 9 33:41 31
6 Fjolnir 22 8 6 8 49:46 30
7 KFA 22 9 2 11 51:45 29
8 Kormakur/Hvot 22 7 6 9 42:38 27
9 Magni 22 7 4 11 35:54 25
10 Throttur Vogar 22 7 2 13 33:42 23
11 KFG Gardabaer 22 7 1 14 38:58 22
12 Hviti 22 3 8 11 28:54 17
Promotion - Division 1 2027 (Main)