Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KFUM Oslo vs Aalesund

Norway Norway

Eliteserien KFUM Arena, Oslo
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Mbacke D.
6' Event
Saunes E.
Penalty Missed
10' Event
Njie B.

AI Match Summary

KFUM Oslo in this Eliteserien matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored KFUM Oslo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
KFUM Oslo
15%
Draws
42%
Aalesund
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KFUM Oslo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to KFUM Oslo lately — more wins on the board than Aalesund.
  • Win probability leans Aalesund's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
KFUM Oslo Clean Sheet 10%
Aalesund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KFUM Oslo Aalesund
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.33 2.27
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Eliteserien
KFUM Oslo vs Aalesund
2:1
Apr 12, 2026 Eliteserien
Aalesund vs KFUM Oslo
2:2
Oct 29, 2021 OBOS-ligaen
KFUM Oslo vs Aalesund
2:4
May 23, 2021 OBOS-ligaen
Aalesund vs KFUM Oslo
1:0
Sep 18, 2019 OBOS-ligaen
Aalesund vs KFUM Oslo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KFUM Oslo Compare

Top Goalscorer Njie B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hoseth H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Aalesund Compare

Top Goalscorer Reed M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KFUM Oslo 10 / 100
Aalesund 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KFUM Oslo Aalesund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalesund Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:8
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalesund has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

KFUM Oslo's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

KFUM Oslo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KFUM Oslo VS Aalesund
1.5 Goals Scored 3.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

KFUM Oslo

(Home)
18 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 3
KFUM Oslo
13 Sept
KFUM Oslo
2 : 1
Aalesund
06 Sept
Molde
2 : 0
KFUM Oslo
30 Aug
Start
4 : 1
KFUM Oslo
22 Aug
Ready
0 : 4
KFUM Oslo
Page 1 of 6

Aalesund

(Away)
19 Sept
Molde
1 : 2
Aalesund
16 Sept
Forde
3 : 4
Aalesund
13 Sept
KFUM Oslo
2 : 1
Aalesund
04 Sept
Aalesund
2 : 0
Start
30 Aug
Viking
2 : 1
Aalesund
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Viking 21 16 2 3 54:20 50
2 Bodo/Glimt 21 16 2 3 53:19 50
3 Tromso 21 11 5 5 40:29 38
4 Molde 21 11 3 7 44:32 36
5 Rosenborg 21 10 3 8 39:30 33
6 Lillestrom 21 10 2 9 28:29 32
7 Brann 21 9 2 10 39:32 29
8 Fredrikstad 21 8 4 9 25:32 28
9 Sarpsborg 08 21 6 7 8 24:29 25
10 KFUM Oslo 21 7 4 10 25:35 25
11 Sandefjord 21 6 5 10 21:27 23
12 Valerenga 21 6 5 10 34:43 23
13 Ham-Kam 21 6 5 10 29:44 23
14 Aalesund 21 4 9 8 33:46 21
15 Kristiansund 21 5 4 12 21:40 19
16 Start 21 4 4 13 22:44 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)