Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Khalij Fars Mahshahr vs Chooka Talesh

Iran Iran

Division 1 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Bahmaei R.
(Penalty)
35' Event
Bahmaei R.
(Penalty)
60' Event
Sharaki Y.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2022/2023 game between Khalij Fars Mahshahr and Chooka Talesh finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Khalij Fars Mahshahr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Khalij Fars Mahshahr
6%
Draws
4%
Chooka Talesh
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Khalij Fars Mahshahr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Khalij Fars Mahshahr come out ahead of Chooka Talesh on wins alone.
  • Model gives Khalij Fars Mahshahr a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Khalij Fars Mahshahr Clean Sheet 68%
Chooka Talesh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khalij Fars Mahshahr Chooka Talesh
Matches Played 23 30
Wins 5 4
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 0.13 0
Goals Conceded 2 2.5
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2023 Azadegan League
Khalij Fars Mahshahr vs Chooka Talesh
4:2
Dec 25, 2022 Azadegan League
Chooka Talesh vs Khalij Fars Mahshahr
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khalij Fars Mahshahr Compare

Top Goalscorer Sharaki Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.1
Avg xA / game 0.07

Chooka Talesh Compare

Top Goalscorer Baghbani M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khalij Fars Mahshahr 95 / 100
Chooka Talesh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khalij Fars Mahshahr Chooka Talesh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chooka Talesh has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Chooka Talesh has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Khalij Fars Mahshahr scored in 57% of their last 23 outings.

Scoring Trends

Khalij Fars Mahshahr VS Chooka Talesh
0.13 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Khalij Fars Mahshahr

(Home)
01 Feb
Khalij Fars Mahshahr
1 : 1
Kara Gostar Shabestar
20 Dec
Khalij Fars Mahshahr
1 : 0
Mes Shahr Babak
13 Dec
Chadormalu
3 : 0
Khalij Fars Mahshahr
05 Dec
Khalij Fars Mahshahr
0 : 2
Ario Eslamshahr
29 Nov
Kheybar Khorramabad
3 : 0
Khalij Fars Mahshahr
Page 1 of 5

Chooka Talesh

(Away)
20 Nov
Foolad Hormozgan
2 : 0
Chooka Talesh
08 Feb
Chooka Talesh
0 : 3
Tractor
23 May
Chooka Talesh
1 : 3
Darya Babol
17 May
Khalij Fars Mahshahr
4 : 2
Chooka Talesh
10 May
Chadormalu
3 : 3
Chooka Talesh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shams Azar Qazvin32217466:2470
2Esteghlal Khuzestan321415347:2157
3Saipa321510730:2255
4Fajr Sepasi321411740:2553
5Kheybar Khorramabad321216432:1652
6Mes Shahr Babak321015724:2045
7Vanpars321291132:2945
8Chadormalu321112932:3145
9Pars Janoobi Jam3211101126:3143
10Darya Babol328141026:2538
11Esteghlal Molasani32716927:4237
12Khoosheh Talai328111326:3335
13Arman Gohar327101528:4531
14Shahrdari Astara325151214:2730
15Shahrdari Hamedan326111516:2929
16Khalij Fars Mahshahr32781721:4229
17Chooka Talesh324101829:5422
18Omid Vahdat Khorasan00000:00
19Shahr Khodrou00000:00
20Qashqai Shiraz00000:00
21Shahin Bandar Ameri00000:00
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League 2023/2024 (Main)