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Khan Tengri vs Arys

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this First League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Khan Tengri
30%
Draws
29%
Arys
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Khan Tengri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Arys haven't matched Khan Tengri's recent run of results.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Khan Tengri Clean Sheet 12%
Arys Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khan Tengri Arys
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 4 4
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 1.23 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 First League
Khan Tengri vs Arys
0:0
May 15, 2026 First League
Arys vs Khan Tengri
0:1
Mar 15, 2025 Kazakhstan Cup
Khan Tengri vs Arys
2:1
Aug 23, 2024 First League
Khan Tengri vs Arys
3:2
Apr 11, 2024 First League
Arys vs Khan Tengri
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khan Tengri 29 / 100
Arys 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khan Tengri Arys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Khan Tengri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arys's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Khan Tengri found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Khan Tengri went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Khan Tengri VS Arys
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Khan Tengri

(Home)
28 Aug
Khan Tengri
3 : 0
FC Astana 2
20 Aug
Tobol 2
3 : 4
Khan Tengri
15 Aug
Khan Tengri
0 : 0
Arys
06 Aug
Akademiya Ontustik
3 : 1
Khan Tengri
30 Jul
Khan Tengri
0 : 1
Turan
Page 1 of 6

Arys

(Away)
27 Aug
Kairat Almaty 2
1 : 0
Arys
20 Aug
Arys
1 : 1
Taraz
15 Aug
Khan Tengri
0 : 0
Arys
07 Aug
Arys
3 : 0
Tobol 2
31 Jul
FC Astana 2
2 : 0
Arys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 20 18 1 1 58:7 55
2 Kairat Almaty 2 20 15 4 1 61:10 49
3 Turan 20 13 2 5 41:19 41
4 Akademiya Ontustik 20 11 3 6 33:26 36
5 Taraz 20 8 4 8 27:25 28
6 Jaiyq 20 8 3 9 18:24 27
7 FC Ekibastuz 20 7 5 8 28:38 26
8 FC Astana 2 20 8 2 10 29:40 26
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 20 7 4 9 28:33 25
10 Khan Tengri 20 7 3 10 26:35 24
11 Aktobe 2 20 6 5 9 35:60 23
12 Arys 20 4 3 13 20:40 15
13 Yelimay Semey 2 20 3 3 14 16:40 12
14 Tobol 2 20 2 4 14 32:55 10
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