Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan Cup

Kyzylzhar

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Khan Tengri play Kyzylzhar in the Kazakhstan Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Khan Tengri averaged 1.31 goals scored and 2.06 conceded. Kyzylzhar averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. In past meetings, Khan Tengri won 0, Kyzylzhar won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 9, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Khan Tengri and 1.31 for Kyzylzhar. This points to a Kyzylzhar double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Khan Tengri

15%

Draws

46%

Kyzylzhar

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kyzylzhar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Khan Tengri picked up more points recently compared to Kyzylzhar.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Khan Tengri Clean Sheet 18%

Kyzylzhar Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Khan Tengri	Kyzylzhar
Matches Played	35	31
Wins	12	9
Draws	3	6
Losses	20	16
Goals Scored	1.31	0.9
Goals Conceded	2.06	1.26
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Kazakhstan Cup

Khan Tengri vs Kyzylzhar

Possession: 46% - 48% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khan Tengri Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Kyzylzhar Compare

Top Goalscorer Beugre E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khan Tengri 39 / 100

Kyzylzhar 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Khan Tengri Kyzylzhar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kyzylzhar or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Khan Tengri attacking → ← attacking Kyzylzhar

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Khan Tengri scored in 63% of their last 35 games.

Kyzylzhar let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Khan Tengri went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Kyzylzhar lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 33

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13