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Khan Tengri vs Turkistan

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League 2025 Khan Tengri
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Dadakhanov A.
20' Event
Seitov A.
Assist: Doronin A.
34'
Sub
Musaev E. In: Tuleu D.
Out: Musaev E.

AI Match Summary

The First League 2025 game between Khan Tengri and Turkistan finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Khan Tengri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Khan Tengri
17%
Draws
13%
Turkistan
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Khan Tengri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Khan Tengri come out ahead of Turkistan on wins alone.
  • Khan Tengri are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular First League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Khan Tengri have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Khan Tengri Clean Sheet 20%
Turkistan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khan Tengri Turkistan
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 10 2
Draws 4 3
Losses 20 25
Goals Scored 1.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2025 First League
Turkistan vs Khan Tengri
1:0
Jun 12, 2025 First League
Khan Tengri vs Turkistan
4:3
Oct 25, 2024 First League
Turkistan vs Khan Tengri
0:5
May 16, 2024 First League
Khan Tengri vs Turkistan
4:0
Sep 1, 2023 First League
Turkistan vs Khan Tengri
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khan Tengri Compare

Top Goalscorer Seitov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bekmyrza A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Turkistan Compare

Top Goalscorer Dadakhanov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ali Ogly R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khan Tengri 67 / 100
Turkistan 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khan Tengri Turkistan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turkistan has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Turkistan has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Khan Tengri scored in 65% of their last 34 games.

Scoring Trends

Khan Tengri VS Turkistan
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kaspij Aktau26222274:2768
2Ertis Pavlodar26194371:2061
3Altai26174554:2355
4Shakhter Karagandy26165561:3453
5Zhetisay261331044:3542
6Kairat Almaty 2261241058:4240
7Akademiya Ontustik261231144:4439
8Taraz261051143:3835
9AKAS261031342:3933
10FC Ekibastuz26841436:6028
11SD Family26721733:7523
12Khan Tengri26531827:5518
13Aktobe 226371634:6516
14Turkistan26232116:809