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Khan Tengri vs Yelimay Semey 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Sovetkazy N.
Assist: Zhilin A.

AI Match Summary

The First League game between Khan Tengri and Yelimay Semey 2 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Yelimay Semey 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Khan Tengri
20%
Draws
0%
Yelimay Semey 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Khan Tengri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Khan Tengri carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Khan Tengri are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Khan Tengri Clean Sheet 17%
Yelimay Semey 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khan Tengri Yelimay Semey 2
Matches Played 29 24
Wins 8 3
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.24 0.79
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 First League
Khan Tengri vs Yelimay Semey 2
0:1
Apr 17, 2026 First League
Yelimay Semey 2 vs Khan Tengri
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khan Tengri Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Yelimay Semey 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sovetkazy N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khan Tengri 84 / 100
Yelimay Semey 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khan Tengri Yelimay Semey 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Khan Tengri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yelimay Semey 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 92% of 24 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Yelimay Semey 2 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Khan Tengri scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Khan Tengri VS Yelimay Semey 2
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Khan Tengri

(Home)
09 Oct
FC Ekibastuz
1 : 1
Khan Tengri
18 Sept
Khan Tengri
0 : 2
Kairat Almaty 2
11 Sept
Taraz
3 : 3
Khan Tengri
03 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0
Khan Tengri
28 Aug
Khan Tengri
3 : 0
FC Astana 2
Page 1 of 6

Yelimay Semey 2

(Away)
08 Oct
Yelimay Semey 2
2 : 3
Arys
18 Sept
Turan
4 : 1
Yelimay Semey 2
10 Sept
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 1
Akademiya Ontustik
04 Sept
Jaiyq
2 : 0
Yelimay Semey 2
27 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 3
Shakhter Karagandy
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 24 17 6 1 67:13 57
3 Turan 24 16 3 5 52:22 51
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 24 10 3 11 42:49 33
6 Jaiyq 24 9 5 10 22:27 32
7 Taraz 24 8 7 9 31:33 31
8 Kaspij Aktau 2 24 8 4 12 35:41 28
9 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
10 FC Ekibastuz 24 7 6 11 32:54 27
11 Khan Tengri 24 7 5 12 30:45 26
12 Aktobe 2 24 6 6 12 42:73 24
13 Tobol 2 24 4 5 15 44:61 17
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
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