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Khangarid vs Khaan Khuns-Erchim Prediction & H2H Stats

Mongolia Mongolia

Premier League 2024/2025
Wed, Jul 16, 2025
3 - 0
08:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Khangarid host Khaan Khuns-Erchim in the Premier League 2024/2025. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Khaan Khuns-Erchim have shipped 2.62 goals a game lately, while Khangarid have conceded 1.5 and scored 2.78. Head-to-head, Khangarid have won 4 to Khaan Khuns-Erchim's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 16, 2025, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Khangarid. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Khangarid
15%
Draws
73%
Khaan Khuns-Erchim
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Khaan Khuns-Erchim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

12% / Low Confidence
  • Khangarid have won more games recently than Khaan Khuns-Erchim.
  • Khangarid are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Khangarid have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 51.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Khangarid Clean Sheet 20%
Khaan Khuns-Erchim Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khangarid Khaan Khuns-Erchim
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 16 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 2.78 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2025 Premier League
Khangarid vs Khaan Khuns-Erchim
3:0
Jun 7, 2025 Premier League
Khaan Khuns-Erchim vs Khangarid
1:2
Oct 13, 2024 Premier League
Khangarid vs Khaan Khuns-Erchim
0:4
May 25, 2024 Premier League
Khangarid vs Khaan Khuns-Erchim
5:4
Apr 6, 2024 Premier League
Khaan Khuns-Erchim vs Khangarid
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khangarid 40 / 100
Khaan Khuns-Erchim 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khangarid Khaan Khuns-Erchim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Khangarid Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Khangarid scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Khaan Khuns-Erchim's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Away concern: Khaan Khuns-Erchim has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Khangarid VS Khaan Khuns-Erchim
3.63 Goals Scored 1.4
1 Goals Conceded 2.4
100% Over 1.5 60%
75% Over 2.5 60%
63% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Khangarid

(Home)
06 Jul
Khangarid
0 : 1
Central Stallions
03 Jul
Khangarid
3 : 4
FC Ulaanbaatar
30 Jun
Deren
2 : 1
Khangarid
27 Jun
Central Stallions
2 : 2
Khangarid
24 Jun
FC Ulaanbaatar
3 : 1
Khangarid
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Khaan Khuns-Erchim

(Away)
26 Sept
Khaan Khuns-Erchim
2 : 8
Khovd
21 Sept
Khovd Western
2 : 3
Khaan Khuns-Erchim
16 Sept
Khaan Khuns-Erchim
1 : 2
Amtat FC
13 Sept
Ulaangom City FC
0 : 1
Khaan Khuns-Erchim
19 Jul
Khovd
3 : 0
Khaan Khuns-Erchim
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Falcons 27 21 4 2 104:19 67
2 Khangarid 27 18 3 6 66:32 57
3 FC Ulaanbaatar 27 15 6 6 65:40 51
4 Deren 27 15 5 7 83:30 50
5 Khoromkhon 27 11 1 15 58:89 34
6 Khovd 27 9 5 13 72:61 32
7 Hunters 27 8 5 14 38:49 29
8 Khaan Khuns-Erchim 27 7 6 14 54:64 27
9 Central Stallions 27 7 1 19 31:156 22
10 Brera Ilch 27 4 4 19 43:74 16
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)