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Khenchela vs Oued Smar

Algeria Algeria

Algeria Cup 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Frahtia A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Khenchela advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Khenchela
33%
Draws
20%
Oued Smar
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Khenchela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Khenchela carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Khenchela a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Khenchela have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Khenchela, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Khenchela Clean Sheet 17%
Oued Smar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khenchela Oued Smar
Matches Played 34 4
Wins 15 1
Draws 8 0
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.24 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.15 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 26, 2016 Algeria Cup
Khenchela vs Oued Smar
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khenchela Compare

Top Goalscorer Frahtia A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Oued Smar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khenchela 57 / 100
Oued Smar 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khenchela Oued Smar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Khenchela Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Khenchela stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Khenchela found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (34 games).

Oued Smar let in goals in 75% of their last 4 matches.

Oued Smar's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Khenchela VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Khenchela

(Home)
18 Sept
Khenchela
1 : 1
ES Ben Aknoun
04 Sept
Khenchela
0 : 0
USM Alger
05 Jun
Khenchela
1 : 0
Rouisset
25 May
Khenchela
2 : 1
USM Alger
19 May
Constantine
2 : 2
Khenchela
Page 1 of 7

Oued Smar

(Away)
26 Nov
USF Constantine
1 : 0
Oued Smar
26 Nov
Khenchela
1 : 0
Oued Smar
09 Jan
Oued Smar
1 : 2
Tadjenant
18 Dec
Bejaia
0 : 2
Oued Smar

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
MC Alger 3
OM Arzew 2
Chelghoum 0
Frenda 1
Skikda 2
Guelma 1
Bouchegouf 0
Beni Douala 2
Nasr El Fedjoudj 1
Hadjar 0
Biskra 1
Annaba 2
Rouisset 2
El Milia 1
WAB Tissemsilt 0
Kabylie 5
Tebessa 2
Berrouaghia 1
Bouakeul 0
RC Oued Rhiou 1
Oran 2
Eulma 0
Bouaziz 0
ASO Chlef 6
Saoura 1
Magra 0
ASM Oran 1
Constantine 2
Staoueli 2
El Kerma 1
SCM Oran 0
ES Setif 2
CR Belouizdad 1
Bordj Ghedir 0
Ain Lhadjar 1
US Chaouia 2
USM Blida 2
Bejaia 1
Mahdi 0
Saida 1
Harrach 2
Oued Sly 1
Ain Fakroun 0
Medea 2
CRB Henaya 2
Bechar Djedid 0
Tadjenant 0
Bordj Bou Arreridj 1
Hussein Dey 1
MO Bejaia 0
Ghozlane 0
Tighenif 1
Khenchela 1
Oued Smar 0
Oued Fodda 1
Paradou 3
USM Alger 2
Tadamoun Souf 0
Azazga 1
CA Batna 2
RC Relizane 2
Mostaganem 1
RC Kouba 1
Bel Abbes 2
1/16-finals
MC Alger 1
Frenda 0
Skikda 0
Beni Douala 4
Nasr El Fedjoudj 1
Annaba 0
Rouisset 1
Kabylie 2
Tebessa 2
RC Oued Rhiou 1
Oran 1
ASO Chlef 2
Saoura 1
Constantine 0
Staoueli 0
ES Setif 5
CR Belouizdad 2
US Chaouia 1
USM Blida 0
Saida 2
Harrach 2
Medea 1
CRB Henaya 2
Bordj Bou Arreridj 3
Hussein Dey 2
Tighenif 0
Khenchela 2
Paradou 3
USM Alger 1
CA Batna 0
RC Relizane 0
Bel Abbes 2
1/8-finals
MC Alger 7
Beni Douala 1
Nasr El Fedjoudj 0
Kabylie 1
Tebessa 4
ASO Chlef 2
Saoura 2
ES Setif 3
CR Belouizdad 2
Saida 1
Harrach 0
Bordj Bou Arreridj 1
Hussein Dey 1
Paradou 0
USM Alger 0
Bel Abbes 1
Quarter-finals
MC Alger 1
Kabylie 0
Tebessa 0
ES Setif 4
CR Belouizdad 2
Bordj Bou Arreridj 1
Hussein Dey 0
Bel Abbes 4
Semi-finals
MC Alger 2
ES Setif 3
CR Belouizdad 1
Bel Abbes 0
Final
ES Setif 0
CR Belouizdad 1