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Khenchela vs USM Alger - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Malone Junior C.
46'
Sub
Askar A. In: Camara A.
Out: Askar A.
55'
Benzid N.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Khenchela and USM Alger finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Khenchela
15%
Draws
69%
USM Alger
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USM Alger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Khenchela haven't matched USM Alger's recent run of results.
  • USM Alger are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Khenchela Clean Sheet 26%
USM Alger Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khenchela USM Alger
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 12
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.07 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Ligue 1
Khenchela vs USM Alger
0:0
May 25, 2026 Ligue 1
Khenchela vs USM Alger
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs Khenchela
1:1
Jun 11, 2025 Ligue 1
Khenchela vs USM Alger
1:0
Feb 5, 2025 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs Khenchela
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khenchela 17 / 100
USM Alger 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khenchela USM Alger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USM Alger Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Khenchela's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

USM Alger let in goals in 64% of their last 25 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Khenchela has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Khenchela VS USM Alger
0.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Khenchela

(Home)
31 Oct
MC Alger
2 : 0
Khenchela
24 Oct
Khenchela
0 : 3
Kabylie
17 Oct
Oran
1 : 0
Khenchela
12 Oct
Khenchela
2 : 0
Constantine
07 Oct
CR Belouizdad
1 : 0
Khenchela
Page 1 of 6

USM Alger

(Away)
31 Oct
Constantine
0 : 2
USM Alger
25 Oct
USM Alger
:
Panthers
24 Oct
USM Alger
2 : 2
CR Belouizdad
20 Oct
Panthers
:
USM Alger
13 Oct
USM Alger
1 : 0
Saoura
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CR Belouizdad 7 5 2 0 12:7 17
2 Kabylie 7 5 1 1 11:3 16
3 MC Alger 6 5 1 0 9:1 16
4 Oran 8 4 3 1 5:2 15
5 USM Alger 7 4 2 1 10:5 14
6 Rouisset 8 4 2 2 8:5 14
7 Olympique Akbou 7 3 2 2 9:6 11
8 CR Temouchent 8 2 3 3 6:9 9
9 ES Setif 7 2 2 3 9:7 8
10 JS El Biar 8 2 2 4 12:12 8
11 ES Ben Aknoun 7 1 5 1 8:8 8
12 Constantine 8 2 1 5 11:17 7
13 Khenchela 7 1 2 4 3:8 5
14 ASO Chlef 8 0 4 4 7:13 4
15 Saoura 7 0 3 4 0:7 3
16 Biskra 8 0 3 5 4:14 3
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)