Sport Picks

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Khenchela vs USM Alger

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Khenchela host USM Alger in the Ligue 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Khenchela at 1.21 goals for, 1.24 against; USM Alger at 1.18 for, 0.87 against. Past meetings favor Khenchela slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 25, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.01 xG vs 1.59) point toward Khenchela. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Khenchela
35%
Draws
19%
USM Alger
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Khenchela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Khenchela haven't matched USM Alger's recent run of results.
  • Khenchela are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Khenchela Clean Sheet 14%
USM Alger Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khenchela USM Alger
Matches Played 29 39
Wins 12 14
Draws 6 17
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.21 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.01 1.59
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Ligue 1
Khenchela vs USM Alger
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs Khenchela
1:1
Jun 11, 2025 Ligue 1
Khenchela vs USM Alger
1:0
Feb 5, 2025 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs Khenchela
3:0
Feb 16, 2024 Ligue 1
Khenchela vs USM Alger
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khenchela 39 / 100
USM Alger 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khenchela USM Alger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Khenchela Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Khenchela's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

USM Alger let in goals in 64% of their last 39 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Khenchela has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Khenchela VS USM Alger
1.14 Goals Scored 1.75
1.43 Goals Conceded 0.88
71% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Khenchela

(Home)
05 Jun
Khenchela
1 : 0
Rouisset
25 May
Khenchela
2 : 1
USM Alger
19 May
Constantine
2 : 2
Khenchela
08 May
Khenchela
2 : 1
El Bayadh
04 May
CR Belouizdad
3 : 1
Khenchela
Page 1 of 6

USM Alger

(Away)
15 Aug
Club Africain
0 : 0
USM Alger
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2
USM Alger
04 Jun
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 2
USM Alger
02 Jun
USM Alger
1 : 1
CR Belouizdad
30 May
Rouisset
1 : 0
USM Alger
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kabylie 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 ASO Chlef 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 ES Setif 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 CR Belouizdad 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 MC Alger 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Oran 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 USM Alger 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Constantine 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Biskra 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Saoura 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 ES Ben Aknoun 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 CR Temouchent 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Rouisset 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 JS El Biar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Khenchela 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Olympique Akbou 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)