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Khimik vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Khimik host Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Khimik at 2.38 goals for, 0.76 against; Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod at 2.03 for, 1.52 against. Past meetings favor Khimik slightly — 2-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 13, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (2.06 - 1.25) back Khimik to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Khimik
15%
Draws
21%
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Khimik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Khimik lately — more wins on the board than Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Khimik taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Khimik here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Khimik Clean Sheet 19%
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khimik Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 23 15
Draws 2 5
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 2.38 2.03
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs Khimik
0:1
Jul 5, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs Khimik
1:1
May 3, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Khimik vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khimik 76 / 100
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khimik Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Khimik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Khimik's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Khimik went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Khimik VS Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Khimik

(Home)
04 Oct
KDV Tomsk
0 : 2
Khimik
27 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
0 : 1
Khimik
20 Sept
Khimik
1 : 2
Akron Togliatti 2
13 Sept
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
0 : 1
Khimik
06 Sept
Khimik
2 : 1
KDV Tomsk
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Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod

(Away)
04 Oct
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1 : 2
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
25 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
2 : 2
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
20 Sept
KDV Tomsk
2 : 1
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
13 Sept
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
0 : 1
Khimik
06 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
0 : 1
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
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