Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Khimki 2 vs Penza

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2025 Stadion Novye Chimki, Khimki
Our Tip

Match Events

61'
Sub
Kormushin A. In: Ramonov Z.
Out: Kormushin A.
63'
Malozemov P.
65'
Anoshin A.

AI Match Summary

Khimki 2 in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Khimki 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Khimki 2
15%
Draws
57%
Penza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Khimki 2 have won more games recently than Penza.
  • 28% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Khimki 2 Clean Sheet 68%
Penza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khimki 2 Penza
Matches Played 26 31
Wins 9 8
Draws 4 2
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.15 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Khimki 2 vs Penza
1:0
Sep 22, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs Khimki 2
3:2
Jun 7, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Khimki 2 vs Penza
2:0
Nov 5, 2023 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Khimki 2 vs Penza
1:3
Mar 16, 2023 Club Friendly
Penza vs Khimki 2
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khimki 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramonov Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Penza Compare

Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khimki 2 41 / 100
Penza 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khimki 2 Penza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KHI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Khimki 2 scored in 62% of their last 26 games.

Away concern: Penza has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Penza
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Khimki 2

(Home)
23 May
R. Volgograd 2
3 : 2
Khimki 2
16 May
Khimki 2
1 : 0
Penza
10 May
Salyut-Belgorod
5 : 0
Khimki 2
03 May
Khimki 2
0 : 2
Znamya Truda
27 Apr
SKA Khabarovsk 2
2 : 0
Khimki 2
Page 1 of 6

Penza

(Away)
08 Aug
Penza
0 : 2
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
29 Jul
SKA Rostov-on-Don
3 : 2
Penza
25 Jul
R. Volgograd 2
0 : 1
Penza
01 Jul
Penza
1 : 2
Salyut-Belgorod
27 Jun
Penza
3 : 1
FC Oryol
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D. Bryansk 28 19 4 5 49:18 61
2 Salyut-Belgorod 28 19 3 6 53:24 60
3 Dynamo Petersburg 28 17 8 3 57:20 59
4 Spartak Tambov 28 16 5 7 47:25 53
5 Znamya Truda 28 16 4 8 57:29 52
6 Ryazan 28 13 8 7 36:29 47
7 M. Lipetsk 28 13 5 10 36:25 44
8 FC Oryol 28 10 8 10 36:37 38
9 Arsenal Tula 2 28 9 6 13 39:39 33
10 Rodina Moscow 3 28 8 8 12 39:46 32
11 Penza 28 8 4 16 26:40 28
12 SKA Khabarovsk 2 28 8 3 17 39:64 27
13 R. Volgograd 2 28 5 8 15 26:44 23
14 Strogino Moscow 28 6 3 19 31:73 21
15 Kvant Obninsk 28 1 7 20 17:75 10
16 Khimki 2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 (Fall Season)