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Khobi vs Guria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 Paata Tatarishvili Stadioni, Khobi
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Khobi host Guria in the Liga 3. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Khobi at 1.66 goals for, 1.93 against; Guria at 2.8 for, 0.9 against. Head-to-head, Khobi have won 0 to Guria's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on May 7, 2026, ending 5:0. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 2.44, favoring Guria. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Khobi
15%
Draws
67%
Guria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guria come out ahead of Khobi on wins alone.
  • Guria are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Khobi Clean Sheet 10%
Guria Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khobi Guria
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 20
Draws 3 3
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.66 2.8
Goals Conceded 1.93 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Liga 3
Guria vs Khobi
5:0
May 7, 2011 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Khobi vs Guria
1:1
Nov 14, 2010 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Guria vs Khobi
4:1
May 19, 2010 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Khobi vs Guria
1:1
Nov 22, 2009 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Guria vs Khobi
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khobi 10 / 100
Guria 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khobi Guria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Khobi found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Guria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Khobi stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Khobi VS Guria
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Khobi

(Home)
09 Oct
FC Gardabani
1 : 3
Khobi
17 Sept
Khobi
1 : 2
Betlemi Keda
10 Sept
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
Khobi
03 Sept
Khobi
1 : 1
Didube
27 Aug
Orbi
1 : 0
Khobi
Page 1 of 6

Guria

(Away)
09 Oct
Margveti 2006
0 : 4
Guria
17 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
10 Sept
FC Gardabani
0 : 5
Guria
03 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Gonio
27 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5
Guria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guria 23 17 3 3 67:11 54
2 FC Tbilisi 2025 23 15 7 1 57:14 52
3 Iberia 1999 2 23 11 9 3 37:19 42
4 Merani Tbilisi 23 11 7 5 39:29 40
5 WIT Georgia 23 11 5 7 37:25 38
6 Gonio 23 11 5 7 32:24 38
7 Orbi 23 10 5 8 39:28 35
8 Didube 23 9 7 7 35:31 34
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 23 9 5 9 34:33 32
10 Locomotive Tbilisi 23 8 7 8 30:29 31
11 Margveti 2006 23 9 3 11 30:39 30
12 Khobi 23 7 3 13 31:46 24
13 FC Gardabani 23 4 4 15 19:56 16
14 Betlemi Keda 23 4 4 15 15:55 16
15 Iveria Khashuri 23 1 11 11 24:48 14
16 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 23 2 5 16 19:58 11
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)