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Khonkaen FC vs Sukhothai

Thailand Thailand

Thai FA Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Khonkaen FC play Sukhothai in the Thai FA Cup 2024/2025. Sukhothai are favorites here. Recently, Khonkaen FC averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Sukhothai averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Khonkaen FC won 0, Sukhothai won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 9, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Khonkaen FC and 0.93 for Sukhothai. This points to a Sukhothai double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Khonkaen FC
18%
Draws
59%
Sukhothai
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Sukhothai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Khonkaen FC picked up more points recently compared to Sukhothai.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 0.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Khonkaen FC Clean Sheet 24%
Sukhothai Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khonkaen FC Sukhothai
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 4 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 0.97 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2025 Thai FA Cup
Khonkaen FC vs Sukhothai
0:1
Jan 9, 2022 Thai League 2
Khonkaen FC vs Sukhothai
1:2
Sep 11, 2021 Thai League 2
Sukhothai vs Khonkaen FC
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khonkaen FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sukhothai Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Fornazari
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khonkaen FC 26 / 100
Sukhothai 55 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khonkaen FC Sukhothai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sukhothai Win (2)
Secondary Pick Sukhothai & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Khonkaen FC attacking → ← attacking Sukhothai

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Khonkaen FC scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Sukhothai let in goals in 81% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Khonkaen FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Sukhothai lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 48
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75