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Khonkaen United vs Police Tero Prediction & H2H Stats

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2025/2026 Khonkaen Stadium, Khon Kaen
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Match Events

12' Event
Jiraphaksiri W.
80' Event
Boodjinda A.
(Penalty)
88' Event
Ouattara A.

AI Match Summary

Khonkaen United in this Thai League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Khonkaen United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Khonkaen United
15%
Draws
28%
Police Tero
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Khonkaen United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Khonkaen United lately — more wins on the board than Police Tero.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Khonkaen United taking it.
  • Regular Thai League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Khonkaen United have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Khonkaen United Clean Sheet 16%
Police Tero Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khonkaen United Police Tero
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 15 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.65 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Thai League 2
Khonkaen United vs Police Tero
2:0
Feb 21, 2026 Thai League 2
Khonkaen United vs Police Tero
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Thai League 2
Police Tero vs Khonkaen United
2:1
Apr 3, 2024 Thai League 1
Khonkaen United vs Police Tero
4:0
Oct 27, 2023 Thai League 1
Police Tero vs Khonkaen United
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khonkaen United Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouattara A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Police Tero Compare

Top Goalscorer Jiraphaksiri W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khonkaen United 84 / 100
Police Tero 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khonkaen United Police Tero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Khonkaen United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Khonkaen United's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Police Tero has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Khonkaen United stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Khonkaen United VS Police Tero
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Khonkaen United

(Home)
19 Sept
Khonkaen United
2 : 0
Police Tero
15 Sept
Chiangmai United
3 : 1
Khonkaen United
12 Sept
Khonkaen United
3 : 0
Mahasarakham
05 Sept
Chanthaburi
0 : 1
Khonkaen United
29 Aug
Khonkaen United
3 : 0
Muang Loei Utd
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Police Tero

(Away)
19 Sept
Khonkaen United
2 : 0
Police Tero
15 Sept
Police Tero
0 : 3
Songkhla
11 Sept
Pattaya United
0 : 3
Police Tero
06 Sept
Police Tero
1 : 0
Muang Loei Utd
29 Aug
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 0
Police Tero
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rasisalai United 34 20 11 3 64:35 71
2 Sisaket United 34 16 12 6 49:31 60
3 Pattani 34 16 10 8 49:45 58
4 Nong Bua Pitchaya 34 16 6 12 59:59 54
5 Police Tero 34 15 8 11 50:44 53
6 Chainat Hornbill 34 12 10 12 50:46 46
7 Khonkaen United 34 11 12 11 60:52 45
8 Mahasarakham 34 12 9 13 47:42 45
9 Trat FC 34 12 8 14 49:53 44
10 Chiangmai United 34 14 1 19 55:58 43
11 Phrae United 34 10 13 11 40:50 43
12 Pattaya United 34 10 12 12 45:42 42
13 Songkhla 34 11 8 15 37:46 41
14 Chanthaburi 34 10 10 14 44:46 40
15 Nakhon Pathom 34 10 9 15 29:37 39
16 Kasetsart 34 9 11 14 46:49 38
17 Nakhon Si United 34 8 12 14 32:54 36
18 Bangkok FC 34 9 8 17 40:56 35
19 Lampang F.C. 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Thai League 1 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)