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Khoosheh Talai vs Fajr Sepasi

Iran Iran

Division 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Khoosheh Talai play Fajr Sepasi in the Division 1 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Khoosheh Talai averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Fajr Sepasi averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Khoosheh Talai won 1, Fajr Sepasi won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 11, 2024 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Khoosheh Talai and 0.93 for Fajr Sepasi. This points to a Fajr Sepasi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Khoosheh Talai
44%
Draws
20%
Fajr Sepasi
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Fajr Sepasi has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Khoosheh Talai.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 1 2023/2024 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Khoosheh Talai Clean Sheet 24%
Fajr Sepasi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khoosheh Talai Fajr Sepasi
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 5 20
Draws 6 8
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2024 Azadegan League
Khoosheh Talai vs Fajr Sepasi
0:2
Oct 9, 2023 Azadegan League
Fajr Sepasi vs Khoosheh Talai
2:0
Apr 15, 2023 Azadegan League
Khoosheh Talai vs Fajr Sepasi
1:1
Nov 6, 2022 Azadegan League
Fajr Sepasi vs Khoosheh Talai
1:2
Mar 17, 2021 Azadegan League
Khoosheh Talai vs Fajr Sepasi
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khoosheh Talai Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Fajr Sepasi Compare

Top Goalscorer Abbasi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fathi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khoosheh Talai 37 / 100
Fajr Sepasi 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khoosheh Talai Fajr Sepasi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Khoosheh Talai scored in 37% of their last 30 games.

Fajr Sepasi let in goals in 55% of their last 40 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Khoosheh Talai went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Fajr Sepasi lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fajr Sepasi
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kheybar Khorramabad34252759:2577
2Fajr Sepasi34227550:1773
3Chadormalu34227547:2073
4Naft Masjed-Soleyman341613547:2958
5Saipa3413111035:2850
6Mes Kerman341115828:2448
7Ario Eslamshahr3411131028:2846
8Mes Shahr Babak3411111232:2644
9Naft Gachsaran3410131135:2643
10Kara Gostar Shabestar3411101327:3443
11Pars Janoobi Jam3411101333:4243
12Esteghlal Molasani3410131126:3338
13Shahre Raz348121425:3436
14Shahrdari Astara34961922:4433
15Damash Gilan347111632:4532
16Darya Babol346131530:4131
17Shahin Bandar Ameri3449821:5127
18Khoosheh Talai34662217:4724