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Khorfakkan vs Al Dhafra

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League 2025/2026 Saqr bin Mohammad al Qassimi Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Khorfakkan play Al Dhafra in the UAE League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Khorfakkan averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Al Dhafra averaged 1.17 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Khorfakkan won 3, Al Dhafra won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 6, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Khorfakkan and 1.06 for Al Dhafra. This points to a Khorfakkan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Khorfakkan
18%
Draws
34%
Al Dhafra
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Khorfakkan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Khorfakkan picked up more points recently compared to Al Dhafra.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Khorfakkan Clean Sheet 22%
Al Dhafra Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khorfakkan Al Dhafra
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 11 4
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.33 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.67 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 UAE League
Al Dhafra vs Khorfakkan
2:3
Jan 2, 2026 UAE League
Khorfakkan vs Al Dhafra
2:3
Apr 18, 2023 UAE League
Al Dhafra vs Khorfakkan
1:3
Nov 11, 2022 UAE League
Khorfakkan vs Al Dhafra
4:3
Mar 5, 2022 UAE League
Al Dhafra vs Khorfakkan
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khorfakkan Compare

Top Goalscorer Jshak A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Al Dhafra Compare

Top Goalscorer El Khaloui M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yaslam R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khorfakkan 48 / 100
Al Dhafra 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khorfakkan Al Dhafra

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Khorfakkan or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Khorfakkan attacking → ← attacking Al Dhafra

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Khorfakkan scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Al Dhafra let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Khorfakkan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Al Dhafra lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 25
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Ain26215062:1868
2Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai26177260:1858
3Al Wasl26146639:2948
4Al Jazira26135846:3044
5Al Wahda261010638:2640
6Al Nasr26911636:3438
7Ajman26951227:3432
8Al Sharjah26851335:4729
9Khorfakkan26691135:4527
10Bani Yas26761329:4327
11Ittihad Kalba26591229:4524
12Al Dhafra26641628:5222
13Al Bataeh26491324:3721
14Dibba Al Fujairah26551625:5520