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Khorfakkan vs Al Jazira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

League Cup Saqr bin Mohammad al Qassimi Stadium, Khor Fakkan
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Match Events

14'
Mujkic N.
36'
Sub
Amallah S. In: Seymor S.
Out: Amallah S.
53' Event
Talisca A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Khorfakkan
35%
Draws
58%
Al Jazira
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Jazira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Jazira carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Al Jazira are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Al Jazira arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Khorfakkan, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Khorfakkan Clean Sheet 10%
Al Jazira Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khorfakkan Al Jazira
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 5 18
Draws 8 6
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.14 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 League Cup
Khorfakkan vs Al Jazira
0:2
Mar 16, 2026 UAE League
Al Jazira vs Khorfakkan
3:1
Aug 17, 2025 UAE League
Khorfakkan vs Al Jazira
3:2
Mar 28, 2025 UAE League
Khorfakkan vs Al Jazira
1:0
Oct 26, 2024 UAE League
Al Jazira vs Khorfakkan
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khorfakkan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Al Jazira Compare

Top Goalscorer Talisca A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vinicius Mello
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khorfakkan 10 / 100
Al Jazira 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khorfakkan Al Jazira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Jazira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Khorfakkan's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Al Jazira let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Khorfakkan has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Khorfakkan VS Al Jazira
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Khorfakkan

(Home)
08 Oct
Khorfakkan
1 : 2
Al Wasl
02 Oct
Khorfakkan
0 : 2
Al Jazira
19 Sept
Ittihad Kalba
2 : 1
Khorfakkan
11 Sept
Khorfakkan
0 : 0
Bani Yas
04 Sept
Al Wasl
5 : 2
Khorfakkan
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Al Jazira

(Away)
09 Oct
Al Sharjah
0 : 0
Al Jazira
02 Oct
Khorfakkan
0 : 2
Al Jazira
20 Sept
Al Jazira
1 : 0
Al Wahda
15 Sept
Gol Gohar
0 : 0
Al Jazira
10 Sept
Al Jazira
1 : 1
Al Nasr
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Wasl 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Ajman 3 3 0 0 7:4 9
3 Al Nasr 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
4 Al Jazira 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
5 Bani Yas 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
6 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
7 Al Sharjah 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
8 Ittihad Kalba 3 1 1 1 4:7 4
9 Al Wahda 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
10 United FC 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
11 Al Ain 3 0 1 2 6:8 1
12 Hatta 3 0 1 2 5:9 1
13 Khorfakkan 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
14 Al Dhafra 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)