Sport Picks
Khorfakkan vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
United Arab Emirates
UAE League Saqr bin Mohammad al Qassimi Stadium, Khor Fakkan 
Match Events
19'
19'
Mateusao
25'
25'
Boa Morte A.
Assist: Barman A.
39'
39'
Sub
Rafael Pereira In: Nakach A.
Out: Rafael Pereira
AI Match Summary
The UAE League game between Khorfakkan and Shabab Al Ahli Dubai finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shabab Al Ahli Dubai.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
7%
35%
58%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Shabab Al Ahli Dubai carry the better recent record into this one.
- Shabab Al Ahli Dubai are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Regular UAE League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Shabab Al Ahli Dubai have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Khorfakkan Clean Sheet 10%
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Khorfakkan | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 UAE League
Khorfakkan vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1:5
Apr 29, 2026 UAE League
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Khorfakkan
3:3
Feb 1, 2026 Presidents Cup
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Khorfakkan
3:1
Nov 20, 2025 UAE League
Khorfakkan vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
0:1
Apr 23, 2025 UAE League
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Khorfakkan
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Khorfakkan Compare
Top Goalscorer Boa Morte A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Compare
Top Goalscorer Ezatolahi S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Yuri Cesar
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Khorfakkan 10 / 100
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Khorfakkan Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.
Khorfakkan found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Khorfakkan has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Khorfakkan VS Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Khorfakkan
(Home) 08 Oct
Khorfakkan
1 : 2 Al Wasl
02 Oct
Khorfakkan
0 : 2 Al Jazira
19 Sept
Ittihad Kalba
2 : 1 Khorfakkan
11 Sept
Khorfakkan
0 : 0 Bani Yas
04 Sept
Al Wasl
5 : 2 Khorfakkan
Page 1 of 6
08 Oct
Khorfakkan
1 : 2 Al Wasl
02 Oct
Khorfakkan
0 : 2 Al Jazira
11 Sept
Khorfakkan
0 : 0 Bani Yas
29 Aug
Khorfakkan
2 : 0 Al Dhafra
15 Aug
Khorfakkan
1 : 5 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Page 1 of 3
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
(Away) 08 Oct
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
2 : 1 United FC
02 Oct
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1 : 1 Al Nasr
19 Sept
Hatta
2 : 2 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
14 Sept
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1 : 0 Tractor
10 Sept
United FC
1 : 1 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Hatta
2 : 2 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
10 Sept
United FC
1 : 1 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
28 Aug
Al Wasl
0 : 1 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
15 Aug
Khorfakkan
1 : 5 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
31 Jul
Mainz
1 : 0 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Jazira | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:2 | 13 |
| 2 | Al Ain | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 10 |
| 4 | Al Wasl | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:6 | 10 |
| 5 | Ajman | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:12 | 9 |
| 6 | Al Wahda | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 7 | Al Sharjah | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:7 | 9 |
| 8 | United FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:13 | 7 |
| 9 | Al Nasr | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 5 |
| 10 | Ittihad Kalba | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:13 | 4 |
| 11 | Khorfakkan | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:12 | 4 |
| 12 | Al Dhafra | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3:9 | 3 |
| 13 | Hatta | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 14 | Bani Yas | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5:10 | 1 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
