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Khoromkhon vs Brera Ilch Prediction & H2H Stats

Mongolia Mongolia

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Naranbold N.
20' Event
Sattorov M.
25' Event
Naranbold N.

AI Match Summary

Khoromkhon in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Khoromkhon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Khoromkhon
15%
Draws
85%
Brera Ilch
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brera Ilch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Khoromkhon have won more games recently than Brera Ilch.
  • Model gives Brera Ilch a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Khoromkhon have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Khoromkhon Clean Sheet 10%
Brera Ilch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khoromkhon Brera Ilch
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 0 4
Losses 25 21
Goals Scored 1.79 1.67
Goals Conceded 5.15 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 3.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 Premier League
Brera Ilch vs Khoromkhon
1:7
Mar 15, 2025 Premier League
Khoromkhon vs Brera Ilch
3:0
Aug 18, 2024 Premier League
Brera Ilch vs Khoromkhon
0:2
May 14, 2024 Premier League
Brera Ilch vs Khoromkhon
1:3
Mar 15, 2024 Premier League
Khoromkhon vs Brera Ilch
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khoromkhon Compare

Top Goalscorer Naranbold N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sattorov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Brera Ilch Compare

Avg xG / game 3.24
Avg xA / game 1.98

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khoromkhon 10 / 100
Brera Ilch 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khoromkhon Brera Ilch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brera Ilch Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brera Ilch let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Khoromkhon scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Brera Ilch lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Khoromkhon VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
6.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
100% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Khoromkhon

(Home)
04 Jul
Khoromkhon
1 : 3
Khovd Western
01 Jul
Khovd
7 : 1
Khoromkhon
25 Jun
Khoromkhon
2 : 4
Ulaangom City FC
22 Jun
Hunters
9 : 0
Khoromkhon
17 Jun
Khoromkhon
2 : 5
Ulaangom City FC
Page 1 of 7

Brera Ilch

(Away)
19 Jul
Central Stallions
4 : 1
Brera Ilch
15 Jul
Brera Ilch
1 : 4
Khovd
09 Jul
Khaan Khuns-Erchim
3 : 5
Brera Ilch
06 Jul
Khangarid
3 : 1
Brera Ilch
01 Jul
Brera Ilch
0 : 1
Hunters
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Falcons 27 21 4 2 104:19 67
2 Khangarid 27 18 3 6 66:32 57
3 FC Ulaanbaatar 27 15 6 6 65:40 51
4 Deren 27 15 5 7 83:30 50
5 Khoromkhon 27 11 1 15 58:89 34
6 Khovd 27 9 5 13 72:61 32
7 Hunters 27 8 5 14 38:49 29
8 Khaan Khuns-Erchim 27 7 6 14 54:64 27
9 Central Stallions 27 7 1 19 31:156 22
10 Brera Ilch 27 4 4 19 43:74 16
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)