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Khoromkhon vs Deren

Mongolia Mongolia

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Cheon S.
15' Event
Usukh-Ireedui B.
18' Event

AI Match Summary

Deren in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deren.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Khoromkhon
15%
Draws
85%
Deren
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Deren have won more games recently than Khoromkhon.
  • Win probability leans Deren's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • Deren have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Khoromkhon Clean Sheet 10%
Deren Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khoromkhon Deren
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 17
Draws 0 4
Losses 24 8
Goals Scored 1.77 3.07
Goals Conceded 5.5 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 3.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Premier League
Deren vs Khoromkhon
12:0
Oct 18, 2025 Premier League
Khoromkhon vs Deren
1:6
Jul 6, 2025 Premier League
Deren vs Khoromkhon
10:0
Apr 17, 2025 Premier League
Khoromkhon vs Deren
0:2
Sep 30, 2024 Premier League
Deren vs Khoromkhon
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khoromkhon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Deren Compare

Top Goalscorer Usukh-Ireedui B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Batmunkh B.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.62
Avg xA / game 2.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khoromkhon 10 / 100
Deren 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khoromkhon Deren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deren Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.80 goals when they meet.

Khoromkhon found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Deren's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Khoromkhon VS Deren
1 Goals Scored 2.13
5.83 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Khoromkhon

(Home)
04 Jul
Khoromkhon
1 : 3
Khovd Western
01 Jul
Khovd
7 : 1
Khoromkhon
25 Jun
Khoromkhon
2 : 4
Ulaangom City FC
22 Jun
Hunters
9 : 0
Khoromkhon
17 Jun
Khoromkhon
2 : 5
Ulaangom City FC
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Deren

(Away)
20 Sept
Ulaangom City FC
0 : 5
Deren
17 Sept
Deren
0 : 0
FC Ulaanbaatar
12 Sept
Hunters
1 : 2
Deren
06 Jul
FC Ulaanbaatar
2 : 3
Deren
03 Jul
Central Stallions
0 : 3
Deren
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Ulaanbaatar 16 13 2 1 65:9 41
2 Central Stallions 16 12 3 1 54:14 39
3 Khangarid 16 10 3 3 59:19 33
4 Deren 16 9 3 4 57:16 30
5 Hunters 16 7 3 6 44:27 24
6 Khovd Western 16 5 3 8 29:36 18
7 Khovd 16 4 0 12 28:73 12
8 Khoromkhon 16 2 0 14 27:86 6
9 Ulaangom City FC 16 1 1 14 16:99 4
10 Falcons 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)