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Khoromkhon vs Falcons

Mongolia Mongolia

Premier League 2025/2026
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Match Events

26' Event
Erdene-Ochir K.
37' Event
Ayvazov R.
38' Event
Myagmar B.

AI Match Summary

Falcons in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Falcons.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Khoromkhon
15%
Draws
85%
Falcons
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Falcons

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Khoromkhon haven't matched Falcons's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Falcons taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Falcons have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Khoromkhon Clean Sheet 10%
Falcons Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khoromkhon Falcons
Matches Played 31 26
Wins 6 19
Draws 0 5
Losses 25 2
Goals Scored 1.74 3.5
Goals Conceded 5.48 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.36 2.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2025 Premier League
Khoromkhon vs Falcons
0:7
Jul 10, 2025 Premier League
Khoromkhon vs Falcons
1:12
Apr 21, 2025 Premier League
Falcons vs Khoromkhon
5:1
Oct 8, 2024 Premier League
Khoromkhon vs Falcons
0:8
Jun 22, 2024 Premier League
Khoromkhon vs Falcons
2:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khoromkhon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.68

Falcons Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayvazov R.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Myagmar B.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.65
Avg xA / game 1.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khoromkhon 10 / 100
Falcons 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khoromkhon Falcons

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Falcons Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 8.40 goals per match.

Khoromkhon scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Falcons's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 26 matches.

Difficult form: Falcons registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Khoromkhon VS Falcons
2.13 Goals Scored 0.6
5.25 Goals Conceded 0.6
100% Over 1.5 40%
100% Over 2.5 20%
88% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Khoromkhon

(Home)
04 Jul
Khoromkhon
1 : 3
Khovd Western
01 Jul
Khovd
7 : 1
Khoromkhon
25 Jun
Khoromkhon
2 : 4
Ulaangom City FC
22 Jun
Hunters
9 : 0
Khoromkhon
17 Jun
Khoromkhon
2 : 5
Ulaangom City FC
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Falcons

(Away)
01 Nov
Falcons
3 : 1
Ezra
29 Oct
Falcons
0 : 2
Manila Digger
26 Oct
Svay Rieng
3 : 0
Falcons
12 Oct
Khovd
0 : 2
Falcons
07 Oct
Khoromkhon
0 : 7
Falcons
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Ulaanbaatar 16 13 2 1 65:9 41
2 Central Stallions 16 12 3 1 54:14 39
3 Khangarid 16 10 3 3 59:19 33
4 Deren 16 9 3 4 57:16 30
5 Hunters 16 7 3 6 44:27 24
6 Khovd Western 16 5 3 8 29:36 18
7 Khovd 16 4 0 12 28:73 12
8 Khoromkhon 16 2 0 14 27:86 6
9 Ulaangom City FC 16 1 1 14 16:99 4
10 Falcons 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)