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Khotira 79 vs FK Kasansay

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Khotira 79 play FK Kasansay in the Pro Liga 2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Khotira 79 averaged 1.5 goals scored and 3.22 conceded. FK Kasansay averaged 1.37 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Khotira 79 won 2, FK Kasansay won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 23, 2016 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Khotira 79 and 2.38 for FK Kasansay. This points to a FK Kasansay double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Khotira 79
15%
Draws
49%
FK Kasansay
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Kasansay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Khotira 79 picked up more points recently compared to FK Kasansay.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 2.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Khotira 79 Clean Sheet 10%
FK Kasansay Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khotira 79 FK Kasansay
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 2 4
Losses 23 17
Goals Scored 1.5 1.37
Goals Conceded 3.22 2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2016 Pro Liga
Khotira 79 vs FK Kasansay
1:3
Jun 14, 2016 Pro Liga
FK Kasansay vs Khotira 79
3:1
Mar 14, 2016 Uzbekistan Cup
Khotira 79 vs FK Kasansay
0:0
Jul 11, 2015 Pro Liga
Khotira 79 vs FK Kasansay
2:0
Apr 4, 2015 Pro Liga
FK Kasansay vs Khotira 79
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khotira 79 34 / 100
FK Kasansay 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khotira 79 FK Kasansay

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FK Kasansay or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Khotira 79 attacking → ← attacking FK Kasansay

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Khotira 79 scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

FK Kasansay let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Khotira 79 went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

FK Kasansay lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 31
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
3.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Din. Samarkand32264286:1982
2Norin Haqqulobod32243563:2975
3Sementchi Kuvasoy32235469:1974
4Uz Dong Ju Andijon321741167:5855
5Osiyo Tashkent321561163:4651
6Nasaf Qarshi II321511661:6246
7Xorazm Urganch321261456:5042
8Nurafshon321321756:6141
9Mashal Muborak II321181346:5941
10Aral321221871:8838
11FK Yozyovon321151658:7638
12Zaamin321061644:5936
13Lokomotiv BFK321051755:6635
14Khotira 79321031951:7833
15Gijduvon32951851:9332
16FK Kasansay32941942:6331
17Pakhtakor II32771849:6228
18Oktepa Tashkent00000:00