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Khujand vs Sardor Tursunzoda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Fri, Aug 28, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Khujand host Sardor Tursunzoda in the Vysshaya Liga. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Khujand at 1.03 goals for, 0.72 against; Sardor Tursunzoda at 1.5 for, 1.83 against. Past meetings favor Khujand slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 28, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.19 - 0.88) back Khujand to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Khujand
35%
Draws
20%
Sardor Tursunzoda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Khujand

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Khujand have won more games recently than Sardor Tursunzoda.
  • Khujand are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Khujand Clean Sheet 20%
Sardor Tursunzoda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khujand Sardor Tursunzoda
Matches Played 29 18
Wins 12 3
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Khujand vs Sardor Tursunzoda
0:0
Apr 12, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Sardor Tursunzoda vs Khujand
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khujand 76 / 100
Sardor Tursunzoda 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khujand Sardor Tursunzoda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Khujand Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sardor Tursunzoda has conceded goals in 83% of their last 18 outings.

Recent resilience: Khujand stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Khujand's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Khujand VS Sardor Tursunzoda
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
25% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Khujand

(Home)
09 Oct
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
0 : 1
Khujand
15 Sept
Khujand
1 : 0
Istiqlol Dushanbe
08 Sept
Regar-TadAZ
0 : 0
Khujand
16 Aug
Istaravshan
0 : 2
Khujand
01 Aug
Khujand
1 : 1
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
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Sardor Tursunzoda

(Away)
16 Sept
Barkchi Hisor
2 : 0
Sardor Tursunzoda
11 Sept
Sardor Tursunzoda
3 : 3
Vakhsh
14 Aug
Sardor Tursunzoda
3 : 3
Khosilot Parkhar
31 Jul
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
2 : 4
Sardor Tursunzoda
28 Jun
Sardor Tursunzoda
0 : 1
Istiqlol Dushanbe
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Regar-TadAZ 18 12 4 2 25:9 40
2 Istiqlol Dushanbe 17 11 4 2 23:6 37
3 Khosilot Parkhar 17 10 4 3 34:17 34
4 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 17 8 3 6 19:20 27
5 Khujand 17 7 6 4 16:11 27
6 Barkchi Hisor 17 7 3 7 24:25 24
7 Ravshan Kulob 17 6 4 7 23:19 22
8 Vakhsh 17 4 8 5 24:24 20
9 Eskhata 17 5 4 8 22:32 19
10 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 18 4 3 11 15:33 15
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 16 2 5 9 23:31 11
12 Istaravshan 18 0 6 12 15:36 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)