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Kickers Offenbach vs Freiberg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Sudwest Bieberer Berg Stadion, Offenbach am Main
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kickers Offenbach host Freiberg in the Regionalliga Sudwest. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Freiberg have shipped 1.64 goals a game lately, while Kickers Offenbach have conceded 1.86 and scored 1.75. Head-to-head, Kickers Offenbach have won 0 to Freiberg's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.88, favoring Freiberg. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Kickers Offenbach
35%
Draws
45%
Freiberg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Freiberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Freiberg's 2.07 goals per match outpaces what Kickers Offenbach have produced (1.75).
  • Win probability leans Freiberg's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Regionalliga Sudwest form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Kickers Offenbach Clean Sheet 10%
Freiberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kickers Offenbach Freiberg
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 10
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.75 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiberg vs Kickers Offenbach
2:0
Sep 20, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Kickers Offenbach vs Freiberg
2:5
Dec 6, 2024 Regionalliga Sudwest
Kickers Offenbach vs Freiberg
0:2
Aug 10, 2024 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiberg vs Kickers Offenbach
0:0
Apr 6, 2024 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiberg vs Kickers Offenbach
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kickers Offenbach 10 / 100
Freiberg 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kickers Offenbach Freiberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Freiberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kickers Offenbach scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Freiberg has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Kickers Offenbach has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kickers Offenbach VS Freiberg
2 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kickers Offenbach

(Home)
09 Oct
Kickers Offenbach
2 : 2
FC 08 Homburg
02 Oct
Stutt. Kickers
2 : 0
Kickers Offenbach
26 Sept
Kickers Offenbach
1 : 3
Aalen
18 Sept
Eintracht Trier
1 : 3
Kickers Offenbach
11 Sept
Kassel
2 : 1
Kickers Offenbach
Page 1 of 6

Freiberg

(Away)
03 Oct
Freiberg
2 : 2
TSV Steinbach Haiger
26 Sept
Freiberg
2 : 2
Stutt. Kickers
19 Sept
Aalen
2 : 3
Freiberg
12 Sept
Freiberg
5 : 0
Mainz II
08 Sept
Sandhausen
0 : 0
Freiberg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Freiberg 10 5 5 0 26:11 20
2 Kickers Offenbach 11 6 2 3 22:15 20
3 Stutt. Kickers 10 6 2 2 19:13 20
4 Aalen 10 5 3 2 18:11 18
5 Freiburg II 9 4 4 1 18:11 16
6 FC 08 Homburg 11 4 4 3 15:15 16
7 Eintracht Trier 10 5 1 4 11:11 16
8 VfR Mannheim 9 3 5 1 14:9 14
9 TSV Steinbach Haiger 10 3 4 3 15:15 13
10 Sandhausen 10 3 4 3 16:20 13
11 FSV Frankfurt 9 3 3 3 14:13 12
12 Kassel 10 3 2 5 17:19 11
13 Eintracht Frankfurt II 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
14 Astoria Walldorf 10 2 3 5 15:18 9
15 Mainz II 10 3 0 7 10:21 9
16 Kaiserslautern II 9 2 3 4 7:18 9
17 Fulda-Lehnerz 10 1 3 6 14:22 6
18 Ulm 10 0 5 5 13:21 5
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)