Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kidderminster vs Gateshead

England England

National League Aggborough Stadium, Kidderminster
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Ferguson K.
27' Event
Dolan C.
Assist: Walker L.
39'
Boatswain A.

AI Match Summary

Kidderminster in this National League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kidderminster.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Kidderminster
30%
Draws
6%
Gateshead
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kidderminster

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Kidderminster have won more games recently than Gateshead.
  • Win probability leans Kidderminster's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Gateshead have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Kidderminster Clean Sheet 20%
Gateshead Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kidderminster Gateshead
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 20 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 2.03 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 National League
Kidderminster vs Gateshead
1:0
Feb 20, 2024 National League
Kidderminster vs Gateshead
0:2
Sep 19, 2023 National League
Gateshead vs Kidderminster
3:0
Mar 5, 2022 National League North
Gateshead vs Kidderminster
4:0
Sep 11, 2021 National League North
Kidderminster vs Gateshead
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kidderminster Compare

Top Goalscorer Dolan C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Gateshead Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kidderminster 85 / 100
Gateshead 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kidderminster Gateshead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kidderminster Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kidderminster found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Gateshead's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Kidderminster has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Kidderminster VS Gateshead
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kidderminster

(Home)
19 Sept
Woking
0 : 0
Kidderminster
16 Sept
Kidderminster
1 : 0
Gateshead
11 Sept
Kidderminster
2 : 0
Hartlepool
05 Sept
Wealdstone
1 : 4
Kidderminster
31 Aug
Kidderminster
1 : 1
Barrow
Page 1 of 6

Gateshead

(Away)
19 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 6
Southend
16 Sept
Kidderminster
1 : 0
Gateshead
12 Sept
Forest Green
4 : 0
Gateshead
08 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 3
Derby U21
05 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 1
Solihull Moors
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 9 7 2 0 23:11 23
2 Southend 9 6 2 1 23:12 20
3 Kidderminster 9 5 3 1 13:7 18
4 AFC Fylde 9 5 2 2 20:13 17
5 Harrogate 9 5 1 3 20:16 16
6 Sutton 9 5 1 3 10:10 16
7 Yeovil 9 4 3 2 18:14 15
8 Aldershot 9 4 3 2 10:7 15
9 Hornchurch 9 5 0 4 11:12 15
10 Altrincham 9 5 0 4 12:15 15
11 Worthing FC 9 4 2 3 17:15 14
12 Eastleigh 9 4 2 3 11:10 14
13 Halifax 9 4 1 4 14:11 13
14 Forest Green 9 4 1 4 13:14 13
15 Boston United 9 3 2 4 13:13 11
16 Carlisle 9 2 4 3 16:14 10
17 Barrow 9 2 3 4 11:12 9
18 Woking 9 2 3 4 10:12 9
19 Hartlepool 9 3 0 6 7:11 9
20 Wealdstone 9 2 2 5 11:15 8
21 Tamworth 9 2 2 5 16:23 8
22 Scunthorpe 9 2 1 6 11:15 7
23 Solihull Moors 9 1 1 7 9:23 4
24 Gateshead 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)