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Kidderminster vs Gateshead - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Aggborough Stadium, Kidderminster
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Ferguson K.
27' Event
Dolan C.
Assist: Walker L.
39'
Boatswain A.

AI Match Summary

Kidderminster in this National League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kidderminster.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Kidderminster
20%
Draws
29%
Gateshead
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kidderminster

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Kidderminster have won more games recently than Gateshead.
  • Win probability leans Kidderminster's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Gateshead have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kidderminster Clean Sheet 20%
Gateshead Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kidderminster Gateshead
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 3
Draws 7 5
Losses 5 20
Goals Scored 1.79 1.04
Goals Conceded 0.79 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 National League
Kidderminster vs Gateshead
1:0
Feb 20, 2024 National League
Kidderminster vs Gateshead
0:2
Sep 19, 2023 National League
Gateshead vs Kidderminster
3:0
Mar 5, 2022 National League North
Gateshead vs Kidderminster
4:0
Sep 11, 2021 National League North
Kidderminster vs Gateshead
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kidderminster Compare

Top Goalscorer Dolan C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Gateshead Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kidderminster 85 / 100
Gateshead 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kidderminster Gateshead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kidderminster Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gateshead conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.

Kidderminster's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Kidderminster went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kidderminster VS Gateshead
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kidderminster

(Home)
07 Nov
Kidderminster
3 : 0
Doncaster
31 Oct
Solihull Moors
2 : 1
Kidderminster
27 Oct
Altrincham
0 : 0
Kidderminster
24 Oct
Kidderminster
1 : 2
Worthing FC
17 Oct
Kidderminster
2 : 1
Solihull Moors
Page 1 of 6

Gateshead

(Away)
03 Nov
Gateshead
3 : 1
Stoke City U21
31 Oct
Aldershot
1 : 0
Gateshead
27 Oct
Boston United
2 : 1
Gateshead
20 Oct
Stafford
5 : 0
Gateshead
17 Oct
Gateshead
1 : 1
Stafford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 16 14 2 0 44:17 44
2 Harrogate 16 10 2 4 34:23 32
3 Southend 16 8 5 3 38:27 29
4 AFC Fylde 16 9 2 5 30:24 29
5 Yeovil 16 8 4 4 35:20 28
6 Worthing FC 16 8 4 4 32:25 28
7 Altrincham 16 9 1 6 24:24 28
8 Carlisle 16 7 5 4 32:23 26
9 Barrow 15 7 4 4 26:19 25
10 Halifax 16 7 3 6 28:20 24
11 Sutton 16 7 3 6 20:21 24
12 Woking 16 6 3 7 25:24 21
13 Kidderminster 16 5 6 5 17:16 21
14 Aldershot 16 6 3 7 19:19 21
15 Hornchurch 16 7 0 9 18:26 21
16 Forest Green 14 5 4 5 23:24 19
17 Eastleigh 16 5 4 7 19:25 19
18 Wealdstone 16 5 3 8 23:29 18
19 Boston United 16 5 3 8 21:29 18
20 Tamworth 15 5 2 8 25:32 17
21 Hartlepool 16 5 0 11 18:27 15
22 Solihull Moors 16 4 1 11 19:40 13
23 Scunthorpe 15 3 1 11 19:30 10
24 Gateshead 15 1 1 13 9:34 4
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