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Kidderminster vs Hartlepool - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Aggborough Stadium, Kidderminster
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Hunter J.
6'
Eccleston N.
29'
Walker L.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Kidderminster and Hartlepool finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kidderminster.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Kidderminster
20%
Draws
44%
Hartlepool
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hartlepool

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Hartlepool haven't matched Kidderminster's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Kidderminster's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Kidderminster Clean Sheet 68%
Hartlepool Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kidderminster Hartlepool
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 12
Draws 7 0
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 1.76 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.83 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 National League
Kidderminster vs Hartlepool
2:0
Jan 23, 2024 National League
Hartlepool vs Kidderminster
0:1
Nov 21, 2023 National League
Kidderminster vs Hartlepool
1:1
Apr 5, 2003 League Two
Kidderminster vs Hartlepool
2:2
Nov 30, 2002 League Two
Hartlepool vs Kidderminster
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kidderminster Compare

Top Goalscorer Stewart C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Hartlepool Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kidderminster 50 / 100
Hartlepool 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kidderminster Hartlepool

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kidderminster Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hartlepool conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Kidderminster scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Kidderminster has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kidderminster VS Hartlepool
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kidderminster

(Home)
31 Oct
Solihull Moors
2 : 1
Kidderminster
27 Oct
Altrincham
0 : 0
Kidderminster
24 Oct
Kidderminster
1 : 2
Worthing FC
17 Oct
Kidderminster
2 : 1
Solihull Moors
10 Oct
Carlisle
0 : 0
Kidderminster
Page 1 of 6

Hartlepool

(Away)
03 Nov
Hartlepool
3 : 1
Leeds U21
31 Oct
Boreham Wood
4 : 3
Hartlepool
27 Oct
AFC Fylde
3 : 1
Hartlepool
24 Oct
Hartlepool
2 : 1
Hornchurch
17 Oct
Hartlepool
0 : 2
Marine
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 16 14 2 0 44:17 44
2 Harrogate 16 10 2 4 34:23 32
3 Southend 16 8 5 3 38:27 29
4 AFC Fylde 16 9 2 5 30:24 29
5 Yeovil 16 8 4 4 35:20 28
6 Worthing FC 16 8 4 4 32:25 28
7 Altrincham 16 9 1 6 24:24 28
8 Carlisle 16 7 5 4 32:23 26
9 Barrow 15 7 4 4 26:19 25
10 Halifax 16 7 3 6 28:20 24
11 Sutton 16 7 3 6 20:21 24
12 Woking 16 6 3 7 25:24 21
13 Kidderminster 16 5 6 5 17:16 21
14 Aldershot 16 6 3 7 19:19 21
15 Hornchurch 16 7 0 9 18:26 21
16 Forest Green 14 5 4 5 23:24 19
17 Eastleigh 16 5 4 7 19:25 19
18 Wealdstone 16 5 3 8 23:29 18
19 Boston United 16 5 3 8 21:29 18
20 Tamworth 15 5 2 8 25:32 17
21 Hartlepool 16 5 0 11 18:27 15
22 Solihull Moors 16 4 1 11 19:40 13
23 Scunthorpe 15 3 1 11 19:30 10
24 Gateshead 15 1 1 13 9:34 4
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