Sport Picks
Kidderminster vs Hereford
England
National League North 2025/2026 Aggborough Stadium, Kidderminster 
Match Events
22'
22'
Reynolds R.
43'
43'
D'Ath L.
90'
90'
Davis D.
AI Match Summary
The National League North 2025/2026 game between Kidderminster and Hereford finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kidderminster.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kidderminster
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Kidderminster come out ahead of Hereford on wins alone.
- Model gives Kidderminster a 57% chance of winning this.
- Regular National League North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Kidderminster have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Kidderminster Clean Sheet 68%
Hereford Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kidderminster | Hereford |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 18 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 3, 2026 National League North
Kidderminster vs Hereford
2:1
Dec 26, 2025 National League North
Hereford vs Kidderminster
0:1
Apr 21, 2025 National League North
Kidderminster vs Hereford
5:1
Dec 26, 2024 National League North
Hereford vs Kidderminster
0:3
Jan 1, 2023 National League North
Kidderminster vs Hereford
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kidderminster Compare
Top Goalscorer Reynolds R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Davis D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Hereford Compare
Top Goalscorer D'Ath L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kidderminster 95 / 100
Hereford 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kidderminster Hereford
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KID Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kidderminster's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Hereford has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Kidderminster stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Kidderminster VS Hereford
2.63 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Kidderminster
(Home) 08 Aug
Hornchurch
3 : 0 Kidderminster
01 Aug
Stourbridge
0 : 5 Kidderminster
28 Jul
Kidderminster
0 : 0 Alvechurch
25 Jul
Stratford
0 : 5 Kidderminster
18 Jul
Halesowen
0 : 2 Kidderminster
Page 1 of 6
28 Jul
Kidderminster
0 : 0 Alvechurch
02 May
Kidderminster
3 : 1 Macclesfield
25 Apr
Kidderminster
1 : 0 South Shields
11 Apr
Kidderminster
4 : 1 King’s Lynn
03 Apr
Kidderminster
2 : 1 Hereford
Page 1 of 3
Hereford
(Away) 08 Aug
Buxton
2 : 1 Hereford
01 Aug
Bromsgrove
0 : 1 Hereford
28 Jul
Hereford
1 : 1 Shrewsbury
25 Jul
Hereford
0 : 3 Solihull Moors
17 Jul
Bishops Cleeve
2 : 0 Hereford
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Buxton
2 : 1 Hereford
01 Aug
Bromsgrove
0 : 1 Hereford
17 Jul
Bishops Cleeve
2 : 0 Hereford
11 Jul
Hereford Pegasus
1 : 1 Hereford
11 Apr
Bedford
2 : 2 Hereford
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 46 | 32 | 4 | 10 | 112:51 | 100 |
| 2 | South Shields | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 99:43 | 95 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 74:51 | 87 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 46 | 24 | 7 | 15 | 81:68 | 79 |
| 5 | Buxton | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 83:61 | 73 |
| 6 | Scarborough Athletic | 46 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 61:52 | 73 |
| 7 | Chester | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 66:64 | 73 |
| 8 | Merthyr Town | 46 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 95:86 | 70 |
| 9 | Darlington FC | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 78:68 | 69 |
| 10 | Spennymoor | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 62:69 | 68 |
| 11 | Telford | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 85:65 | 65 |
| 12 | Marine | 46 | 18 | 8 | 20 | 62:72 | 62 |
| 13 | Radcliffe | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 76:83 | 60 |
| 14 | Southport | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 64:71 | 60 |
| 15 | Chorley | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 66:65 | 57 |
| 16 | Worksop | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 66:74 | 57 |
| 17 | Oxford City | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 62:67 | 56 |
| 18 | Bedford | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 66:77 | 53 |
| 19 | King’s Lynn | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 56:64 | 52 |
| 20 | Hereford | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 64:79 | 52 |
| 21 | Curzon Ashton | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 67:88 | 52 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 49:82 | 50 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 51:96 | 39 |
| 24 | Leamington | 46 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 41:90 | 29 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
