Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kidderminster vs Sutton

England England

National League Aggborough Stadium, Kidderminster
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kidderminster host Sutton in the National League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Kidderminster have averaged 1.97 scored and 0.86 conceded recently, against Sutton's 1.21 scored and 1.57 conceded. Past meetings favor Kidderminster slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 1, 2025, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 0.76) point toward Kidderminster. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Kidderminster
30%
Draws
23%
Sutton
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kidderminster

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sutton haven't matched Kidderminster's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Kidderminster taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Kidderminster Clean Sheet 20%
Sutton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kidderminster Sutton
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 18 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.97 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2025 FA Trophy
Kidderminster vs Sutton
0:1
Nov 9, 2013 FA Cup
Kidderminster vs Sutton
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kidderminster 49 / 100
Sutton 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kidderminster Sutton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kidderminster Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kidderminster's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sutton conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Kidderminster went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kidderminster VS Sutton
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kidderminster

(Home)
26 Sept
Kidderminster
0 : 1
Yeovil
19 Sept
Woking
0 : 0
Kidderminster
16 Sept
Kidderminster
1 : 0
Gateshead
11 Sept
Kidderminster
2 : 0
Hartlepool
05 Sept
Wealdstone
1 : 4
Kidderminster
Page 1 of 6

Sutton

(Away)
26 Sept
Sutton
3 : 3
Forest Green
19 Sept
Halifax
1 : 1
Sutton
15 Sept
Sutton
2 : 1
Eastleigh
12 Sept
Sutton
0 : 2
Scunthorpe
08 Sept
Sutton
1 : 2
Birmingham U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 10 8 2 0 26:11 26
2 Southend 10 6 2 2 25:16 20
3 AFC Fylde 10 6 2 2 21:13 20
4 Harrogate 10 6 1 3 24:17 19
5 Aldershot 10 5 3 2 15:8 18
6 Yeovil 10 5 3 2 19:14 18
7 Kidderminster 10 5 3 2 13:8 18
8 Altrincham 10 6 0 4 15:15 18
9 Worthing FC 10 5 2 3 19:16 17
10 Sutton 10 5 2 3 13:13 17
11 Hornchurch 10 5 0 5 11:15 15
12 Forest Green 10 4 2 4 16:17 14
13 Eastleigh 10 4 2 4 12:14 14
14 Halifax 10 4 1 5 15:13 13
15 Woking 10 3 3 4 15:14 12
16 Barrow 10 3 3 4 15:14 12
17 Wealdstone 10 3 2 5 15:15 11
18 Boston United 10 3 2 5 13:14 11
19 Carlisle 10 2 4 4 18:19 10
20 Scunthorpe 10 3 1 6 15:16 10
21 Hartlepool 10 3 0 7 8:15 9
22 Tamworth 10 2 2 6 17:28 8
23 Solihull Moors 10 1 1 8 9:26 4
24 Gateshead 10 1 1 8 6:24 4
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)