Sport Picks

England

FA Trophy 2023/2024

Exmouth Town

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kidlington play Exmouth Town in the FA Trophy 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kidlington averaged 1.74 goals scored and 2.26 conceded. Exmouth Town averaged 1.39 goals scored and 2.11 conceded. In past meetings, Kidlington won 1, Exmouth Town won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 7, 2024 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.71 for Kidlington and 1.96 for Exmouth Town. This points to a Kidlington double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%

Kidlington

15%

Draws

33%

Exmouth Town

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kidlington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Kidlington picked up more points recently compared to Exmouth Town.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.71 vs 1.96 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 91%

Over 2.5 Goals 79%

Over 3.5 Goals 47%

Over 4.5 Goals 24%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%

Kidlington Clean Sheet 10%

Exmouth Town Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 82%

Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kidlington	Exmouth Town
Matches Played	27	18
Wins	10	4
Draws	1	2
Losses	16	12
Goals Scored	1.74	1.39
Goals Conceded	2.26	2.11
Expected Goals (xG)	1.17	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.67	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2024 FA Trophy

Exmouth Town vs Kidlington

Possession: 43% - 43% Cards: 2 - 1

4:1

Sep 23, 2023 FA Trophy

Kidlington vs Exmouth Town

Possession: 52% - 46% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kidlington 49 / 100

Exmouth Town 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kidlington Exmouth Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kidlington or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18%

2.27

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.2%

1.37

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kidlington attacking → ← attacking Exmouth Town

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kidlington scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Exmouth Town let in goals in 89% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Kidlington went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Exmouth Town lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 14

1.17 Goals expected (xG) 2.25

1.67 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25