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Kifisia vs AEL Larissa

Greece Greece

Super League 2025/2026 Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis, Athens
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Larouci Y.
6' Event
Tupta L.
Assist: Pasas G.
8'
Tupta L.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between Kifisia and AEL Larissa finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kifisia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Kifisia
20%
Draws
38%
AEL Larissa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kifisia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kifisia come out ahead of AEL Larissa on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Kifisia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Kifisia Clean Sheet 20%
AEL Larissa Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kifisia AEL Larissa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 4
Draws 13 11
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 0.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Super League
Kifisia vs AEL Larissa
3:2
Apr 22, 2026 Super League
AEL Larissa vs Kifisia
1:1
Jan 10, 2026 Super League
Kifisia vs AEL Larissa
1:1
Aug 30, 2025 Super League
AEL Larissa vs Kifisia
1:1
May 11, 2025 Super League 2
AEL Larissa vs Kifisia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kifisia Compare

Top Goalscorer Larouci Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pombo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

AEL Larissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Tupta L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perez F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kifisia 42 / 100
AEL Larissa 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kifisia AEL Larissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AEL Larissa has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Kifisia scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Kifisia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kifisia VS AEL Larissa
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kifisia

(Home)
29 Jul
Westerlo
1 : 1
Kifisia
25 Jul
De Graafschap
4 : 2
Kifisia
22 Jul
RAAL La Louviere
1 : 1
Kifisia
21 May
Kifisia
3 : 2
AEL Larissa
16 May
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 0
Kifisia
Page 1 of 6

AEL Larissa

(Away)
21 May
Kifisia
3 : 2
AEL Larissa
16 May
AEL Larissa
2 : 1
Atromitos
12 May
Panetolikos
1 : 1
AEL Larissa
09 May
AEL Larissa
1 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
02 May
Panserraikos
1 : 1
AEL Larissa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
9Atromitos3612101449:4246
10Kifisia369141340:5141
11Asteras Tripolis368121636:4936
12Panetolikos36991835:5136
13AEL Larissa365151634:5630
14Panserraikos36782125:7329
Relegation - Super League 2 2026/2027 (Main)