Sport Picks
Kigali FC vs Etincelles Prediction & H2H Stats
Rwanda
Premier League 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Kigali FC and Etincelles finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
20%
61%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Etincelles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Etincelles come out ahead of Kigali FC on wins alone.
- Etincelles are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Kigali FC Clean Sheet 14%
Etincelles Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kigali FC | Etincelles |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 33 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 12 | 11 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.72 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2026 Premier League
Kigali FC vs Etincelles
0:0
Jan 3, 2026 Premier League
Etincelles vs Kigali FC
0:1
May 19, 2025 Premier League
Kigali FC vs Etincelles
2:2
Jan 7, 2025 Premier League
Etincelles vs Kigali FC
1:0
Apr 27, 2024 Premier League
Kigali FC vs Etincelles
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kigali FC 27 / 100
Etincelles 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kigali FC Etincelles
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Etincelles Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Etincelles has conceded goals in 70% of their last 33 outings.
Kigali FC scored in 53% of their last 32 games.
Games between these two average 1.40 goals.
Solid form: Kigali FC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Kigali FC VS Etincelles
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Kigali FC
(Home) 16 Sept
Kigali FC
0 : 2 Al-Hilal Omdurman
12 Sept
Etoile de L'Est
0 : 0 Kigali FC
06 Sept
Marines
2 : 0 Kigali FC
30 May
Kigali FC
2 : 1 Musanze
22 May
Rutsiro
2 : 1 Kigali FC
Page 1 of 7
16 Sept
Kigali FC
0 : 2 Al-Hilal Omdurman
30 May
Kigali FC
2 : 1 Musanze
15 May
Kigali FC
2 : 1 Gicumbi
03 May
Kigali FC
0 : 2 Al-Hilal Omdurman
24 Apr
Kigali FC
0 : 0 Gasogi United
Page 1 of 3
Etincelles
(Away) 15 Sept
Etincelles
1 : 0 Musanze
12 Sept
Gorilla
0 : 1 Etincelles
05 Sept
Etincelles
0 : 0 Sunrise
30 May
Etincelles
2 : 1 Al-Hilal Omdurman
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4 Etincelles
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Gorilla
0 : 1 Etincelles
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4 Etincelles
16 May
Marines
2 : 3 Etincelles
13 May
APR
3 : 1 Etincelles
10 May
Gasogi United
2 : 2 Etincelles
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 74:25 | 75 |
| 2 | APR | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 50:28 | 68 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 41:24 | 59 |
| 4 | Rayon Sport | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 40:30 | 56 |
| 5 | Kiyovu | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 34:21 | 53 |
| 6 | Police | 34 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 29:19 | 52 |
| 7 | Mukura Victory Sports | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 36:38 | 47 |
| 8 | Marines | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47:43 | 45 |
| 9 | Bugesera | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34:39 | 44 |
| 10 | Musanze | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 38:37 | 43 |
| 11 | Gorilla | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31:42 | 40 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:54 | 38 |
| 13 | Etincelles | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 32:40 | 37 |
| 14 | Kigali FC | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 27:39 | 35 |
| 15 | Gasogi United | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 29:44 | 35 |
| 16 | Amagaju | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 19:38 | 35 |
| 17 | Muhanga | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 25:46 | 31 |
| 18 | Rutsiro | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 30:47 | 29 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
