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Kilia Kiel vs Heider SV Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2025/2026 game between Kilia Kiel and Heider SV finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kilia Kiel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kilia Kiel
20%
Draws
40%
Heider SV
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kilia Kiel come out ahead of Heider SV on wins alone.
  • Kilia Kiel are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Kilia Kiel Clean Sheet 10%
Heider SV Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kilia Kiel Heider SV
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 17 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 2.73 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.08 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Heider SV vs Kilia Kiel
4:1
Mar 27, 2026 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Kilia Kiel vs Heider SV
5:0
Sep 20, 2025 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Heider SV vs Kilia Kiel
4:3
Mar 15, 2025 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Kilia Kiel vs Heider SV
5:3
Sep 7, 2024 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Heider SV vs Kilia Kiel
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kilia Kiel 40 / 100
Heider SV 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kilia Kiel Heider SV

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kilia Kiel scored in 88% of their last 26 games.

Heider SV has conceded goals in 93% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 5.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Kilia Kiel stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kilia Kiel VS Heider SV
2.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kilia Kiel

(Home)
26 Sept
Kilia Kiel
2 : 2
Phonix Lubeck B
19 Sept
Heider SV
4 : 1
Kilia Kiel
12 Sept
Kilia Kiel
2 : 1
Eichede
05 Sept
Oldenburger SV
0 : 3
Kilia Kiel
29 Aug
PSV Neumunster
1 : 4
Kilia Kiel
Page 1 of 6

Heider SV

(Away)
26 Sept
Eichede
5 : 1
Heider SV
19 Sept
Heider SV
4 : 1
Kilia Kiel
12 Sept
PSV Neumunster
2 : 4
Heider SV
05 Sept
Heider SV
1 : 1
Rotenhof
30 Aug
TSB Flensburg
1 : 2
Heider SV
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Todesfelde 30 26 2 2 80:24 77
2 Holstein Kiel II 30 20 5 5 83:26 65
3 Kilia Kiel 30 19 4 7 87:37 61
4 Eichede 30 16 11 3 59:30 59
5 VfR Neumunster 30 15 5 10 61:55 50
6 Heider SV 30 14 5 11 59:58 47
7 PSV Neumunster 30 13 5 12 68:62 44
8 Phonix Lubeck B 30 12 6 12 63:70 42
9 Nordmark Satrup 30 12 4 14 44:51 40
10 Kaltenkirchener 30 10 6 14 49:53 36
11 Rotenhof 30 9 7 14 51:70 34
12 Hohenwestedt 30 8 5 17 48:64 29
13 Oldenburger SV 30 8 5 17 61:86 29
14 Eutin 08 30 7 6 17 32:65 27
15 Inter Turkspor Kiel 30 6 2 22 31:77 20
16 Preussen Reinfeld 30 4 4 22 38:86 16
Promotion - Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026 (Promotion)