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Kilkisiakos vs Mpam - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kilkisiakos host Mpam in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Kilkisiakos at 1.45 goals for, 1.65 against; Mpam at 2 for, 1 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.63, favoring Mpam. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kilkisiakos
25%
Draws
35%
Mpam
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Kilkisiakos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kilkisiakos come out ahead of Mpam on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Kilkisiakos Clean Sheet 14%
Mpam Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kilkisiakos Mpam
Matches Played 31 2
Wins 9 1
Draws 8 1
Losses 14 0
Goals Scored 1.45 2
Goals Conceded 1.65 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kilkisiakos 31 / 100
Mpam 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kilkisiakos Mpam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mpam conceded in 100% of 2 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Kilkisiakos scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Kilkisiakos stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kilkisiakos VS Mpam
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kilkisiakos

(Home)
03 Oct
Kilkisiakos
0 : 2
Makedonikos Neapolis
27 Sept
Finikas Polichnis
3 : 2
Kilkisiakos
08 Apr
Kilkisiakos
2 : 0
PAOK Kristonis
05 Apr
Krya Vrysi
1 : 2
Kilkisiakos
01 Apr
Kilkisiakos
5 : 3
PAOK Dytikou
Page 1 of 7

Mpam

(Away)
03 Oct
Mpam
3 : 1
PAOK Kristonis
27 Sept
Panedessaikos
1 : 1
Mpam

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poseidonas Michanionas 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Finikas Polichnis 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
3 Iraklis Thermaikou 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Mpam 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
5 Akrites Sykeon 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
6 Makedonikos Neapolis 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
7 Agiou Nikolaou 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Panedessaikos 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
9 AE Polykastro 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
10 Kilkisiakos 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
11 PAOK Kristonis 2 0 0 2 2:8 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 (Losers stage)