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Killas W vs FBC Melgar W

Peru Peru

Liga Women 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Killas W play FBC Melgar W in the Liga Women 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Killas W averaged 1.17 goals scored and 2.67 conceded. FBC Melgar W averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. In past meetings, Killas W won 0, FBC Melgar W won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 21, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Killas W and 2.19 for FBC Melgar W. This points to a FBC Melgar W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Killas W
24%
Draws
51%
FBC Melgar W
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: FBC Melgar W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Killas W picked up more points recently compared to FBC Melgar W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 2.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Killas W Clean Sheet 10%
FBC Melgar W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Killas W FBC Melgar W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Liga Women
Killas W vs FBC Melgar W
0:2
Sep 20, 2025 Liga Women
Killas W vs FBC Melgar W
0:0
May 21, 2025 Liga Women
FBC Melgar W vs Killas W
4:2
May 6, 2024 Liga Women
FBC Melgar W vs Killas W
2:0
Aug 6, 2023 Liga Women
Killas W vs FBC Melgar W
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Killas W 25 / 100
FBC Melgar W 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Killas W FBC Melgar W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FBC Melgar W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Killas W attacking → ← attacking FBC Melgar W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Killas W scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

FBC Melgar W let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Killas W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

FBC Melgar W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 41
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1A. Lima W11100136:630
2Universitario de Deportes W1190243:627
3Sporting Cristal W1172228:923
4Carlos Mannucci W1172228:1323
5UNSAAC W1161422:1319
6FBC Melgar W1153314:1618
7Flamengo FBC W1143414:1615
8Biavo W1131710:3210
9Cesar Vallejo W1122711:258
10Killas W111379:296
11Real Ancash W1120915:406
12Defensores W1111911:364