Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Killester Donnycarney vs Cherry Orchard

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this FAI Cup 2016 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Killester Donnycarney
15%
Draws
34%
Cherry Orchard
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Killester Donnycarney

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Killester Donnycarney lately — more wins on the board than Cherry Orchard.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Killester Donnycarney have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Killester Donnycarney Clean Sheet 16%
Cherry Orchard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Killester Donnycarney Cherry Orchard
Matches Played 25 21
Wins 10 7
Draws 3 4
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.6 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2016 FAI Cup
Cherry Orchard vs Killester Donnycarney
1:0
Apr 3, 2016 FAI Cup
Killester Donnycarney vs Cherry Orchard
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Killester Donnycarney 31 / 100
Cherry Orchard 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Killester Donnycarney Cherry Orchard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Killester Donnycarney's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Cherry Orchard has conceded goals in 76% of their last 21 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Cherry Orchard's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Killester Donnycarney VS Cherry Orchard
1.75 Goals Scored 1.33
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.83
88% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Killester Donnycarney

(Home)
17 May
College Corinthians
2 : 1
Killester Donnycarney
18 Jul
Killester Donnycarney
0 : 7
Bohemians
17 May
Midleton
0 : 6
Killester Donnycarney
30 Jul
Lucan Utd
3 : 0
Killester Donnycarney
10 Oct
Killester Donnycarney
3 : 1
Firhouse
Page 1 of 5

Cherry Orchard

(Away)
26 Sept
Firhouse
3 : 3
Cherry Orchard
22 Apr
North End United
2 : 0
Cherry Orchard
28 Apr
Bangor Celtic
3 : 2
Cherry Orchard
21 May
Cobh Ramblers
2 : 1
Cherry Orchard
24 Apr
Cherry Orchard
1 : 0
Killester Donnycarney
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Finn Harps -
TBD -
Greystones United 0
Crumlin Utd 1
Janesboro 4
St John Bosco 2
TBD -
Sheriff YC -
Bray -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Wexford -
TBD -
TBD -
Firhouse -
Cabinteely -
TBD -
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Bohemians -
TBD -
TBD -
Galway United -
Drogheda -
TBD -
TBD -
Derry City -
St. Patricks -
TBD -
Rockmount 0
Pike Rovers 1
Bluebell Utd 5
Carrigaline Utd 0
TBD -
Limerick -
Ringmahon Rangers 4
Bandon 3
TBD -
Glebe North -
Cherry Orchard 2
Killester Donnycarney 1
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Midleton -
Letterkenny Rovers 3
Portmarnock 2
TBD -
Athlone -
Longford -
TBD -
TBD -
Waterford -
Saint Peter's FC 2
Leeside 1
TBD -
Cork City -
1/16-finals
Dundalk 2
Shelbourne 0
Finn Harps 0
Crumlin Utd 1
Janesboro 2
Sheriff YC 1
Bray 3
UC Dublin 4
Wexford 3
Firhouse 0
Cabinteely 0
Sligo Rovers 3
Bohemians 2
Galway United 0
Drogheda 2
Derry City 3
St. Patricks 8
Pike Rovers 0
Bluebell Utd 2
Limerick 5
Ringmahon Rangers 2
Glebe North 1
Cherry Orchard 1
Cobh Ramblers 2
Shamrock Rovers 4
Midleton 0
Letterkenny Rovers 0
Athlone 1
Longford 2
Waterford 0
Saint Peter's FC 0
Cork City 4
1/8-finals
Dundalk 5
Crumlin Utd 0
Janesboro 1
UC Dublin 3
Wexford 2
Sligo Rovers 1
Bohemians 0
Derry City 2
St. Patricks 2
Limerick 0
Ringmahon Rangers 1
Cobh Ramblers 4
Shamrock Rovers 5
Athlone 0
Longford 1
Cork City 4
Quarter-finals
Dundalk 1
UC Dublin 0
Wexford 1
Derry City 3
St. Patricks 3
Cobh Ramblers 2
Shamrock Rovers 0
Cork City 5
Semi-finals
Dundalk 4
Derry City 3
St. Patricks 1
Cork City 3
Final
Dundalk 0
Cork City 1