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Killester Donnycarney vs Galway United Prediction & H2H Stats

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2017
Sun, Aug 13, 2017
3 - 4
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Chambers S.
72' Event
Murray R.
77' Event
Murray R.

AI Match Summary

Galway United in this FAI Cup 2017 tie, finishing 3-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Killester Donnycarney
15%
Draws
46%
Galway United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Galway United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Galway United have won more games recently than Killester Donnycarney.
  • Galway United are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Galway United arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Galway United, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Killester Donnycarney Clean Sheet 11%
Galway United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Killester Donnycarney Galway United
Matches Played 25 31
Wins 10 12
Draws 3 9
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.6 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2017 FAI Cup
Killester Donnycarney vs Galway United
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Killester Donnycarney Compare

Top Goalscorer Chambers S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader McMillan L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Galway United Compare

Top Goalscorer Murray R.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Killester Donnycarney 22 / 100
Galway United 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Killester Donnycarney Galway United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Galway United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Galway United let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Killester Donnycarney found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (25 games).

Killester Donnycarney has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Killester Donnycarney VS Galway United
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Killester Donnycarney

(Home)
17 May
College Corinthians
2 : 1
Killester Donnycarney
18 Jul
Killester Donnycarney
0 : 7
Bohemians
17 May
Midleton
0 : 6
Killester Donnycarney
30 Jul
Lucan Utd
3 : 0
Killester Donnycarney
10 Oct
Killester Donnycarney
3 : 1
Firhouse
Page 1 of 5

Galway United

(Away)
25 Sept
Galway United
1 : 1
Shelbourne
18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0
Galway United
14 Sept
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3
Galway United
11 Sept
Galway United
2 : 3
Bohemians
04 Sept
Drogheda
1 : 2
Galway United
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
Derry City -
Wexford -
TBD -
TBD -
Crumlin Utd -
Cobh Wanderers 1
Edenderry Town 0
Boyle Celtic 0
Killarney Celtic 1
Evergreen United 3
St. Marys 2
TBD -
Drogheda -
Bluebell Utd -
TBD -
Greystones United 0
Sheriff YC 3
UC Dublin -
TBD -
TBD -
Cabinteely -
Shelbourne -
TBD -
TBD -
Waterford -
Glenville -
TBD -
TBD -
Shamrock Rovers -
Limerick -
TBD -
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Bohemians -
TBD -
TBD -
Finn Harps -
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Portmarnock -
Killester Donnycarney 2
Ballymun Utd 1
TBD -
Galway United -
Longford -
TBD -
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Everton AFC 2
Liffey Wanderers 1
Cherry Orchard 2
Bangor Celtic 3
Athlone -
TBD -
College Corinthians 0
Ballincollig 1
Bray -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
1/16-finals
Dundalk 4
Derry City 0
Wexford 1
Crumlin Utd 2
Cobh Wanderers 3
Killarney Celtic 0
Evergreen United 0
Drogheda 4
Bluebell Utd 3
Sheriff YC 0
UC Dublin 1
Cabinteely 3
Shelbourne 3
Waterford 0
Glenville 0
Shamrock Rovers 1
Limerick 3
Cobh Ramblers 0
Bohemians 3
Finn Harps 4
St. Patricks 2
Portmarnock 0
Killester Donnycarney 3
Galway United 4
Longford 4
Sligo Rovers 2
Everton AFC 2
Bangor Celtic 3
Athlone 5
Ballincollig 0
Bray 0
Cork City 1
1/8-finals
Dundalk 3
Crumlin Utd 1
Cobh Wanderers 1
Drogheda 5
Bluebell Utd 1
Cabinteely 0
Shelbourne 0
Shamrock Rovers 3
Limerick 1
Finn Harps 0
St. Patricks 0
Galway United 2
Longford 1
Bangor Celtic 0
Athlone 0
Cork City 7
Quarter-finals
Dundalk 4
Drogheda 0
Bluebell Utd 2
Shamrock Rovers 4
Limerick 2
Galway United 1
Longford 1
Cork City 4
Semi-finals
Dundalk 5
Shamrock Rovers 3
Limerick 0
Cork City 1
Final
Dundalk 1
Cork City 2