Sport Picks
Killymoon vs Carrick Rangers
Northern Ireland
Irish League Cup 2012/2013 
Match Events
37'
37'
Harmon A.
45'
45'
Kelly D.
55'
55'
Kelly D.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-5, with Carrick Rangers advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carrick Rangers
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Carrick Rangers come out ahead of Killymoon on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Carrick Rangers's way, sitting at 90%.
- Carrick Rangers arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Carrick Rangers, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Carrick Rangers have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Killymoon Clean Sheet 15%
Carrick Rangers Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Killymoon | Carrick Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 18 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 17 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 2.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.63 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 27, 2012 Irish League Cup
Killymoon vs Carrick Rangers
0:5
Jan 14, 2012 Irish Cup
Killymoon vs Carrick Rangers
1:3
Jan 10, 2009 NIFL Championship
Killymoon vs Carrick Rangers
0:4
Oct 11, 2008 NIFL Championship
Carrick Rangers vs Killymoon
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Killymoon Compare
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Carrick Rangers Compare
Top Goalscorer Kelly D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Harmon A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Killymoon 10 / 100
Carrick Rangers 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Killymoon Carrick Rangers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Killymoon scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Carrick Rangers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.
Away concern: Carrick Rangers has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Carrick Rangers
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Killymoon
(Home) 20 Aug
Fivemiletown
: Killymoon
22 Aug
Seapatrick
1 : 0 Killymoon
07 Dec
Harland & Wolff
8 : 1 Killymoon
13 Aug
Killymoon
3 : 4 Lurgan Celtic
12 Jan
Killymoon
1 : 4 Glentoran
Page 1 of 6
13 Aug
Killymoon
3 : 4 Lurgan Celtic
12 Jan
Killymoon
1 : 4 Glentoran
08 Dec
Killymoon
4 : 2 Dromara
27 Aug
Killymoon
0 : 5 Carrick Rangers
14 Jan
Killymoon
1 : 3 Carrick Rangers
Page 1 of 4
Carrick Rangers
(Away) 08 Aug
Carrick Rangers
1 : 0 Portadown
01 Aug
Ballyclare
1 : 8 Carrick Rangers
28 Jul
Carrick Rangers
1 : 0 Ards
24 Jul
Carrick Rangers
0 : 3 Ballymena
21 Jul
Queens University
3 : 5 Carrick Rangers
Page 1 of 7
01 Aug
Ballyclare
1 : 8 Carrick Rangers
21 Jul
Queens University
3 : 5 Carrick Rangers
18 Jul
Harland & Wolff
0 : 3 Carrick Rangers
06 May
Dungannon
3 : 1 Carrick Rangers
25 Apr
Glenavon
2 : 3 Carrick Rangers
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Crusaders -
TBD -
Larne 0
Glebe 1
Killymoon -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Coagh Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Ballymena -
TBD -
Loughgall 0
Lurgan Celtic 4
Donegal -
TBD -
Portstewart 1
Harland & Wolff 3
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Ards 4
Annagh 0
TBD -
Linfield -
Glenavon -
TBD -
Wakehurst 3
Sport & Leisure 4
Newry City -
TBD -
Ballyclare 1
Dergview 7
Institute -
TBD -
Queens University 1
Banbridge 2
PSNI 4
Chimney 3
TBD -
Glentoran -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
Warrenpoint 0
Knockbreda 1
Tobermore 1
Moyola 0
TBD -
Cliftonville -
1/16-finals
Crusaders 3
Glebe 0
Killymoon 0
Carrick Rangers 5
Coagh Utd 3
Dungannon 2
Limavady 1
Lisburn Distillery 3
Ballymena 4
Lurgan Celtic 1
Donegal 1
Harland & Wolff 2
Coleraine 4
Ballymoney 1
Ards 1
Linfield 3
Glenavon 6
Sport & Leisure 1
Newry City 1
Dergview 2
Institute 1
Banbridge 0
PSNI 1
Glentoran 3
Portadown 3
Dundela 0
Armagh 2
Bangor FC 4
Ballinamallard 4
Knockbreda 1
Tobermore 1
Cliftonville 4
1/8-finals
Crusaders 4
Carrick Rangers 3
Coagh Utd 0
Lisburn Distillery 9
Ballymena 3
Harland & Wolff 1
Coleraine 0
Linfield 1
Glenavon 2
Dergview 1
Institute 2
Glentoran 3
Portadown 4
Bangor FC 0
Ballinamallard 0
Cliftonville 5
Quarter-finals
Crusaders 3
Lisburn Distillery 1
Ballymena 0
Linfield 6
Glenavon 2
Glentoran 1
Portadown 1
Cliftonville 3
Semi-finals
Crusaders 1
Linfield 0
Glenavon 0
Cliftonville 3
Final
Crusaders 0
Cliftonville 4
