Sport Picks

Scotland

Premiership 2025/2026 Rugby Park

Dundee FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kilmarnock play Dundee FC in the Premiership 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kilmarnock averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.68 conceded. Dundee FC averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Kilmarnock won 1, Dundee FC won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 12, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Kilmarnock and 1.00 for Dundee FC. This points to a Dundee FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Kilmarnock

28%

Draws

36%

Dundee FC

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Dundee FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence

Kilmarnock picked up more points recently compared to Dundee FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%

Kilmarnock Clean Sheet 23%

Dundee FC Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kilmarnock	Dundee FC
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	10	11
Draws	6	7
Losses	12	12
Goals Scored	1.57	1.33
Goals Conceded	1.68	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Premiership

Kilmarnock vs Dundee FC

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 3 - 2

3:1

Apr 11, 2026 Premiership

Kilmarnock vs Dundee FC

Possession: 45% - 44% Cards: 3 - 4

2:2

Jan 17, 2026 Scottish Cup

Kilmarnock vs Dundee FC

Possession: 47% - 43% Cards: 4 - 2

1:2

Dec 30, 2025 Premiership

Dundee FC vs Kilmarnock

Possession: 49% - 51% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Aug 23, 2025 Premiership

Kilmarnock vs Dundee FC

Possession: 46% - 47% Cards: 0 - 1

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kilmarnock Compare

Top Goalscorer Lowery T.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Hugill J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.92

Avg xA / game 1.25

Dundee FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kilmarnock 37 / 100

Dundee FC 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kilmarnock Dundee FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dundee FC or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kilmarnock attacking → ← attacking Dundee FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kilmarnock scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Dundee FC let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Kilmarnock went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Dundee FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 40

2.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
7	Dundee Utd	38	10	15	13	49:60	45
8	Dundee FC	38	11	9	18	42:61	42
9	Aberdeen	38	11	7	20	40:55	40
10	Kilmarnock	38	10	10	18	50:68	40
11	St. Mirren	38	8	10	20	30:55	34
12	Livingston	38	2	15	21	40:75	21