Sport Picks
Kilmarnock vs Ayr
Scotland
League Cup Rugby Park, Kilmarnock 
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the League Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Kilmarnock at 1.68 goals for, 1.57 against; Ayr at 1.48 for, 1.3 against. Past meetings favor Kilmarnock slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 4, 2025, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.63, favoring Kilmarnock. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Kilmarnock carry the better recent record into this one.
- 53% — that's where the model lands on Ayr taking it.
- Kilmarnock have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Ayr, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kilmarnock | Ayr |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kilmarnock's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: Ayr conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Kilmarnock stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
