Sport Picks

Scotland

League Cup Rugby Park, Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

1 - 0

Hamilton

Our Tip

Match Events

43'

McKenzie R.

55'

Sub

Owen I. In: Hugill J.

Out: Owen I.

55'

Sub

O'Hara M. In: Kiltie G.

Out: O'Hara M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%

Kilmarnock

20%

Draws

60%

Hamilton

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hamilton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence

Kilmarnock haven't matched Hamilton's recent run of results.
Model gives Hamilton a 60% chance of winning this.
Hamilton arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Kilmarnock, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Kilmarnock have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%

Kilmarnock Clean Sheet 10%

Hamilton Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kilmarnock	Hamilton
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	15	18
Draws	4	4
Losses	11	6
Goals Scored	1.67	2
Goals Conceded	1.57	0.89
Expected Goals (xG)	0.81	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 League Cup

Kilmarnock vs Hamilton

1:0

Mar 5, 2022 Championship

Kilmarnock vs Hamilton

2:0

Dec 26, 2021 Championship

Hamilton vs Kilmarnock

2:3

Nov 30, 2021 Challenge Cup

Hamilton vs Kilmarnock

2:3

Oct 23, 2021 Championship

Kilmarnock vs Hamilton

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kilmarnock Compare

Top Goalscorer Kiltie G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.62

Avg xA / game 0.41

Hamilton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kilmarnock 10 / 100

Hamilton 85 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kilmarnock Hamilton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamilton Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kilmarnock scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Kilmarnock went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Hamilton has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kilmarnock VS Hamilton

1.13 Goals Scored 1.5

2.25 Goals Conceded 0.5

63% Over 1.5 38%

63% Over 2.5 38%

50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kilmarnock

(Home)

19 Sept

Kilmarnock

1 : 1

Hearts

15 Sept

Hibernian

0 : 1

Kilmarnock

12 Sept

Kilmarnock

1 : 2

Aberdeen

05 Sept

Aberdeen

0 : 0

Kilmarnock

02 Sept

Kilmarnock

0 : 1

St. Mirren

Page 1 of 6

Hamilton

(Away)

23 Sept

Hamilton

1 : 0

Cowdenbeath

19 Sept

Hamilton

4 : 1

Queen of the South

08 Sept

Spartans

0 : 4

Hamilton

05 Sept

East Kilbride

0 : 1

Hamilton

29 Aug

Hamilton

1 : 0

Cove Rangers

Page 1 of 6