Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kilmarnock vs Hearts

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Rugby Park, Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock Logo

Kilmarnock

1 - 1
FT
Hearts Logo

Hearts

Our Tip

Match Events

10'
McCarthy C.
11'
Mendy L.
16' Event
McCart J.
Own Goal
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premiership game between Kilmarnock and Hearts finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Kilmarnock
30%
Draws
47%
Hearts
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hearts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Hearts carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Hearts a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Kilmarnock Clean Sheet 10%
Hearts Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kilmarnock Hearts
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 17
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.67 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Premiership
Kilmarnock vs Hearts
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 Premiership
Kilmarnock vs Hearts
1:0
Dec 3, 2025 Premiership
Hearts vs Kilmarnock
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Premiership
Kilmarnock vs Hearts
0:3
May 18, 2025 Premiership
Kilmarnock vs Hearts
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kilmarnock Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Hearts Compare

Top Goalscorer Kingsley S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kilmarnock 10 / 100
Hearts 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kilmarnock Hearts

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hearts Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:9
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kilmarnock found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Hearts let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Kilmarnock has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kilmarnock VS Hearts
1.13 Goals Scored 2.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Kilmarnock

(Home)
19 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 1
Hearts
15 Sept
Hibernian
0 : 1
Kilmarnock
12 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 2
Aberdeen
05 Sept
Aberdeen
0 : 0
Kilmarnock
02 Sept
Kilmarnock
0 : 1
St. Mirren
Page 1 of 6

Hearts

(Away)
19 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 1
Hearts
15 Sept
Falkirk
2 : 1
Hearts
11 Sept
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3
Hearts
06 Sept
Hearts
2 : 1
Dundee FC
03 Sept
Hibernian
1 : 3
Hearts
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 7 6 0 1 14:4 18
2 Rangers 7 5 1 1 8:4 16
3 Hearts 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
4 Dundee FC 7 3 1 3 9:7 10
5 St. Mirren 7 3 1 3 8:9 10
6 St Johnstone 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
7 Aberdeen 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
8 Dundee Utd 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
9 Motherwell 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
10 Hibernian 7 2 1 4 8:11 7
11 Falkirk 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
12 Kilmarnock 7 1 2 4 6:15 5
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)