Sport Picks
Kilmarnock vs Motherwell
Scotland
Premiership Rugby Park, Kilmarnock 
AI Match Summary
Kilmarnock host Motherwell in the Premiership. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Kilmarnock have averaged 1.67 scored and 1.57 conceded recently, against Motherwell's 1.42 scored and 1.58 conceded. Head-to-head, Kilmarnock have won 1 to Motherwell's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 4:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.56) point toward Kilmarnock. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Motherwell haven't matched Kilmarnock's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kilmarnock | Motherwell |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.58 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Kilmarnock scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Motherwell's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.
Solid form: Kilmarnock remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Kilmarnock
(Home)Motherwell
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Rangers | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 16 |
| 3 | Hearts | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Dundee FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 5 | St. Mirren | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 6 | St Johnstone | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 7 | Aberdeen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | 8 |
| 8 | Dundee Utd | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 8 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 8 |
| 10 | Hibernian | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 11 | Falkirk | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:15 | 5 |
